January 28 2023
Saturday Morning Report
Our weekend will be mild, ending with light afternoon rain on Sunday into Monday. Then we focus on the colder storm track and potential snow… a few hits are possible.
I continue to see computer guidance having trouble handling this, so keep an open mind from Wednesday and beyond for the results for our region. I expect another day or two until we can zero in on this. Check it out…
We are still lacking true winter cold. This start will help springboard the afternoon temps.
We remain on the Mild Side of that cold front. Winds will shift from the Southwest around High Pressure and bring another mild day to the Mid Atlantic.
The cold side of that front is where snow will again track across the Great Lakes into Northern New England. North of Chicago and Milwaukee will be getting 6 to 12 inches of snow.
The air will flow from the Southwest, a warmer direction. That will help push many near or above 50ºF.
Latest Measurable Snow In Baltimore
Normal Low in Baltimore: 25ºF
Record -3ºF in 1987
SNOW: 23.3” 1922
Normal High in Baltimore: 43ºF
Record 70ºF 1949
Most central areas will have a few hours of rain in the middle of the afternoon.
Still mild, but feeling cooler with the rain.
This European Model shows a few impulses with colder air. There has been a loss of the energy shown just a day or two ago, but it’s still there. I believe the models are having trouble handling the energy and pattern shift, so we must keep an open mind for more adjustments.
Upper Level 850mb (500 Ft ):
This is a look at cloud level, which is a better indication of the air mass farther out in time. Temperatures are in Celsius.
A few mild days with rain on Sunday. The colder air will arrive by the middle of next week. As for the storms, I continue to see computer guidance having trouble handling them, so keep an open mind from Wednesday and beyond for the results for our region. I expect another day or two until we can zero in on this.
Winter History: Low Snow And Late Starts
See my research based on Baltimore data since 1883.
February Becoming More Favorable For Winter In The Eastern US: La Niña May Help Later
Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school
I see many factors to support colder influence with multiple systems. Early and later in winter. Check it out.
Winter Outlook 2023 For Snow Not Typical La Niña Plus Polar Vortex Disruption
Atmospheric Memory Suggests Active Winter Storm Pattern Outlook
Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs
Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs
If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season.
Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following
Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow
