November 13 2022

Sunday Morning Update 

The cold air had finally arrived with strong winds and possibly a challenge for the Bay Bridge Run.  The steady winds of 20 mph will gust to 30 mph and keep our temperatures cold.  It has already brought snow to the mountains of Western Maryland and West Virginia. See photos and live cam below. 

Is more on the way?

Well, first a Freeze Warning for metro areas west of the Bay through Delaware, then we watch the next system on Tuesday evening. 

Sunday Morning Snow

This is a fresh 1 inch on the ground in Garrett County, MD near Deep Creek Lake. Kristin Skeweris sent this while it was still snowing. See the Web Cam Below. 

Live Snow Cam

This webcam is positioned at The Greene Turtle Deep Creek Lake and shows Wisp Resort, including a zoomed-in view of Squirrel Cage, The Face, the terrain park, Boulder, the mountain coaster, the tubing park and a shot of McHenry Cove at Deep Creek Lake!

Snow in Rowelsburg, WV from Larry Rogers

About 30 miles away from Deep Creek Lake. Also about 1 inch on the ground and still falling…

NWS Snow Forecast

This has already over produced, and an additional coating to 1 inch is possible this morning. 

Morning Surface Weather

With the cold front off the coast, and High Pressure dominating most of the Nation with a fresh Canadian Air Mass, the Lake Effect Snow Machine is open for business…. 

Temperatures 

Morning 

Wind Forecast Through Midnight

The winds will be brisk today, then settle down tonight.

Snapshot at 2 PM

Peak wind gusts up to 30 mph.

Afternoon 

Wind Chill 

It will definitely feel colder with the winds today.

Freeze Warning

With the wind calming overnight, temps will tank to near 32ºF for the urban areas on the Western Shore of the Bay across through much of Delaware.

CLIMATE DATA

TODAY November 13

Normal Low in Baltimore:  37ºF

Record 22ºF in 2019

SNOW: 3” 1904

Normal High in Baltimore: 58ºF

Record 77ºF 1955

Monday Morning

Monday Afternoon 

Much of the region will stay in the 40s!

Next Week: Next Storm

Storm Animation 7 AM TUE to 7 PM WED

GFS Model Tuesday Night

I’ve highlighted the potential for where snowflakes may fly. This is NOT a promise of stickage. The ground needs to chill sufficiently and early season events are a challenge to note when and where the snow may lay and stay.

There is hope for it to fall nearby. FITF

ECWMF Model

This has a slower solution, bringing in precipitation about 6 hours later and a little bit warmer.

Extended Temperature Outlook

Just a look at the GFS for now. I am short on time to put a full 7-Day forecast together. I hope to have that in my report tonight. 

Cold Air here to stay through Thanksgiving 

NEW: November Outlook Map From NOAA  Showed This For The First Time

The Big Cool Down Into Mid November: NOAA Outlook Does This For First Time

STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back

Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school

Also See: Winter Outlook Series:

Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs

ALSO, SEE THESE OTHER WINTER OUTLOOK REPORTS

Farmer’s Almanac Comparison

Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs

Triple Dip La Niña Winter

Winter Outlook 2023 La Niña Triple Dip Expectations

CONNECTION TO WINTER?

If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season. (You might be seeing a lot of commercial snow removal people out this Winter).

Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following

Wooly Bear Caterpillars

Winter Weather Outlook From The Wooly Bear Caterpillar

Persimmon Seeds

Winter Weather Outlook: Persimmon Seeds And Snow Folklore

Click to see Top 20 and MORE

Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow

Normals And Records: Maryland and Baltimore Climate History

Faith in the Flakes Gear

SNOWSTIX – Available Now