November 12, 2022
Saturday Morning Update
Nicole raced out of here, so the good news is that we wake up this morning with still somewhat mild and dry weather. That will not last as another impulse will arrive tonight and pull a front through.
By Sunday morning much colder winds will mark a dramatic change in our weather pattern. Snow showers may drop a coating in far western Maryland and surrounding mountains. Then we will watch another storm bring chilly rain and inland snow closer on Tuesday.
The remains of Nicole are in New England. Yes, that is snow between St. Louis and Cincinnati! While it is mild locally today in metro and coastal areas, the next impulse is the leading edge of change and it will arrive with rain tonight.
The air mass that follows is an early Arctic Blast. This is what will spread a colder set up for most of the nation for the rest of the week.
Still very mild 60s in central Maryland and Delmarva, but the 50s and 40s are showing up in the mountains.
Last mild day for a while…
Expect a band of rain to arrive this evening, and last through morning.
A period of rain may be with some of us through Sunday morning….
TODAY November 12
Normal Low in Baltimore: 37ºF
Record 18ºF in 1957
SNOW: 3.3” 1968
Normal High in Baltimore: 59ºF
Record 78ºF 1879
A strong wind from the Northwest will average 10 to 20 mph, but gust 25 to 30 mph.
This is what it will feel like Sunday Morning with the wind!
Most of the region will remain in the 40s, with 30s and 20s in the mountains.
This will be the first hard freeze for many east of the Chesapeake Bay.
I’ve highlighted the potential for where snow may fly. This is NOT a promise of stickage. The ground needs to chill sufficiently and early season events are a challenge to note when and where the snow may lay and stay.
There is hope for it to fall nearby. FITF
This storm track from the Ohio Valley will race through, but seems to match the recent history of storms near or along the coast. I see a pattern emerging (atmospheric memory).
This is what we have been talking about…. It’s about to arrive!
Here is our cold air!!!
The Big Cool Down Into Mid November: NOAA Outlook Does This For First Time
Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school
Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs
Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs
If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season. (You might be seeing a lot of commercial snow removal people out this Winter).
Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following
Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow
