November 6 2022

Sunday Morning Update 

It does not feel like November with mild temperatures this morning. Rain has spread in as expected. This should be mostly a morning event for areas west of the Chesapeake Bay, then we have another warm afternoon. There may be more showers later, but later is earlier now with the END of Daylight Saving Time!  

A big change is on the way this week that will include a dramatic cool down AND possibly the impact of a new tropical system to hit Florida and ride up the coast by the end of the week. 

Rocket Launch From Wallops Island

If you woke up early for the show off the East Coast, it did not happen today. Weather was not the reason, but rather a fire alarm in the mission control center. The launch has been rescheduled for 5:27 AM on Monday. 

Morning Surface Weather

See the live radar below 

The cold front is still west of Maryland. It will take all day to move through. That will allow our temps to remain warm, but could also re-surge rain showers again later – after this morning’s round. 

Morning Temperatures

DAYLIGHT SAVING TIME ENDED

• Sunrise at 6:40 AM
• Sunset at 4:59 PM

Losing 2 minutes and 9 seconds from yesterday 

Live Radar Widget

Radar Simulations

NAM 3 Km: 7 AM to 7 PM

This model has plotted the morning rain best, and shows it falling apart by lunch time.

HRRR Model: 7 AM to 7 PM

This simulation shows that old boundary redeveloping rain in the same inland suburbs and hill country late afternoon and evening. 

If you have afternoon plans, there may be a late shower. Then again, the sun will be setting by 5 PM.

Afternoon Temperatures 

Another mild day between the clouds and perhaps more showers later. The SUN WILL SET CLOSE TO OR BEFORE 5 PM (depending on your location).

CLIMATE DATA

TODAY November 6

Normal Low in Baltimore:  39ºF

Record 22ºF in 1991

SNOW: 5” in 1953

Normal High in Baltimore: 61ºF

Record 80ºF 2015

Average Temperatures Trending Cooler

Monday Temperatures

Morning

Remaining mild. With the earlier sunrise to start the week, it may be a pleasant morning.

Afternoon

Still warmer than average for this time of year, but the signal of cooler air is showing up to the west.

Looking Ahead:

We will have a mid week cool down. I will address this pattern change in my next report later today.

ALSO

TROPICS

The National Hurricane Center has suggested a new Tropical System is expected to develop. Here is the 5-day outlook, showing 80% chance for a named tropical storm forming near the Bahamas. It is then expected to hit southern Florida and ride north up the east coast to our region Friday and Saturday.

The next two names are: Nicole and Owen

GFS Model: Storm Animation Wednesday to Saturday.

Track the ‘landfall’ of that new tropical system in southeast Florida, then rolling up the east coast to bring us rain later on Friday. 

7 Day Forecast

Also See:

Meteor Sighting Friday Night November 4: Video From Baltimore County And Map Where It Tracked

Total Lunar Eclipse Part Of November Highlights: Weather The Sun Plus A Rocket Launch

STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back

Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school

Normals And Records: Maryland and Baltimore Climate History

Winter Outlook Reports

Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs

Farmer’s Almanac Comparison

Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs

Triple Dip La Niña Winter

Winter Outlook 2023 La Niña Triple Dip Expectations

CONNECTION TO WINTER?

If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season. (You might be seeing a lot of commercial snow removal people out this Winter).

Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following

Wooly Bear Caterpillars

Winter Weather Outlook From The Wooly Bear Caterpillar

Persimmon Seeds

Winter Weather Outlook: Persimmon Seeds And Snow Folklore

Click to see Top 20 and MORE

Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow

Faith in the Flakes Gear

SNOWSTIX – Available Now