Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 06/06/2023 01:20:02 pm




Dew Point
Relative Humidity


Feels Like


Wind (W)


Air Pressure


Sun Rise

05:40 AM

Sun Set

08:30 PM

Day Length

14:50 Hours


0 min 52 sec gain

Moon Rise

11:39 PM

Moon Set

07:46 AM

Next: Last Quarter

Jun 10,2023

Moon Phase

Waning Gibbous

Average Low



Average High
Record Low




Record High

Hurricane Ian To Make Landfall Northeast Of Charleston SC This Afternoon

storm surge
rain timeline
National Hurricane Center

Friday Morning September 30 2022

At 11 AM Hurricane Ian continued to trend to the right side of the forecast cone. In this case, that will put the eye on land to the Northeast of Charleston, SC. They are in the heaviest rain, but the peak storm storm surge will be farther up the coast. There are new maps to highlight this and the impact up the coast below.

Here is a quick look at the movement on radar and satellite this morning.

Hurricane Ian Doppler Radar Loop

9 AM to 10:40 AM


Doppler Radar Snapshot

Based on the location of the eye and the track, landfall is a little later…  between 12 PM and 2 PM.


Updated Landfall Forecast

Location most likely between Awendaw and Georgetown, SC. Timing between 12 PM and 2 PM.

This also moved the target zone of onshore winds farther north. That is away from Charleston but higher for Awendaw, Myrtle Beach, and even Wilmington.


Ian: Sep 30 Friday Morning

Quick Stats at 11 AM

  • Winds are 85 mph
  • Moving to the North at 14 mph
  • Located  60 miles SSE of Charleston, SC
  • Hurricane Force Winds extends 70 miles from the center.
  • Tropical Storm force winds extend 275 miles from the center.


IR Satellite Loop

The winds are stronger at 85 mph.  However, the satellite image shows that it is losing its tropical characteristics, and is no longer symmetrical. The cloud and wind field has stretched out to the north as it interacts with land of the Eastern US and Canadian High Pressure. 






RAINFALL: Ian is expected to produce the following storm total rainfall:

* Northeast South Carolina: 4 to 8 inches, with local maxima of 12 inches.

* Central South Carolina, North Carolina, and southern Virginia: 3 to 6 inches with local maxima of 8 inches


Storm Simulation 

2 PM Fri to 8 AM Sat – NAM 3 Km Model

Rain should end for the landfall locations by midnight. Heavier rain will spread inland and north. 

Hurricane Ian rain forecast Friday

Forecast Winds

2 PM Fri to 8 AM Sat – NAM 3 Km Model

This will move through faster than when it crossed Florida. So improvement is expected on the coast later tonight and Saturday morning. 

Hurricane Ian wind forecast Friday


National Hurricane Center Track/Cone

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…

* Savannah River to Cape Fear North Carolina

* Neuse River North Carolina

* St. Johns River Florida

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…

* Savannah River to Cape Fear North Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…

* Altamaha Sound Georgia to Savannah River

* Cape Fear to Duck North Carolina

* Pamlico Sound

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…

* North of Cape Fear to Duck North Carolina

* Pamlico River

* Cape Fear River

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…

* East of Cape Fear to Surf City North Carolina


Wind And Storm Surge Focus

The most destructive part of a landfalling hurricane is the storm surge. We just saw that in Florida (and I have included two videos on the pop out box here on this page).  

Here is a look at landfall northeast Charleston SC… That means less surge for them but higher water for Myrtle Beach and Wilmington, NC.


Storm Surge Forecast

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…

* Isle of the Palms to Little River Inlet…4-7 ft

* Little River Inlet to Cape Fear…3-5 ft

* Savannah River to Isle of the Palms…2-4 ft

* Cape Fear River…2-4 ft

* East of Cape Fear to Duck, including Pamlico and Neuse Rivers…2-4 ft

* Flagler/Volusia County Line to Savannah River…1-2 ft

* Albemarle Sound…1-2 ft




See how the Carolina Coastline was shaped by thousands of years of storms and how is can catch more or get protected further up the coast. 

How Hurricanes Interact With Land And Helped Shape The US East Coast


Mid Atlantic View

4 PM Fri to 8 AM Sat – NAM 3 Km Model

-I will have our Maryland Update shortly-

Hurricane Ian Forecast Inland Saturday Maryland


Maryland and Mid Atlantic:

Before my next update, this was my report last night:

Hurricane Ian Impact On Maryland and Mid Atlantic This Weekend


Top 5 Landfalling Storms With Winds 155 mph or Higher Include: 

185 mph in 1935 – Labor Day Day (unnamed)

175 mph in 1969 – Camile

165 mph in 1992 – Andrew

160 mph in 2018 – Michael

155 mph in 2023 – Ian

Storm Name History/Retirement

Since 1954, 94 storms have had their names retired.

I named storms are 13 of them.

Since 2000, 44 storm names were retired.

Of them, 11 began with the letter I. This is going to be number 12.


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