July 28 More Humid And Marginal Risk For Severe Storms Today More Likely Friday
July 28 2022
Thursday Morning Update
One certainty is that today will feel more humid. Temps may reach around 90ºF, but it will FEEL like the mid to upper 90s. The risk for storms is about 30% and the chance they turn severe is marginal.
We continue with low confidence in model guidance for specifics. A few days this week the short range models did not verify, but I will show the better performing one below.
On Friday a cold front will move our way with a pattern change. This will increase our storm chances, then lead to clearing and improved weather into the weekend.
Temperatures
Morning Surface Weather
Satellite Loop 4:36 AM to 6:36 AM
Afternoon Temperatures
Return back to the lower 90s in urban areas and south. We should notice the humidity building back for all.
Heat Index
It will FEEL uncomfortable today with higher humidity.
Evening Storms?
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CLIMATE DATA
TODAY July 28th
Normal Low in Baltimore: 67ºF
Record 58ºF in 1996
Normal High in Baltimore: 88ºF
Record 97ºF 1941
Friday Temperatures
Highs may be earlier in the afternoon as we watch more clouds and showers develop. The strongest storms are likely in the evening and overnight.
Morning
Afternoon
NAM 3Km Model
4 PM Friday to 8 AM Saturday
The strongest storms are expected late in the day and overnight. Some showers may linger at the beaches Saturday morning, but the day should feature clearing.
7 Day Forecast
Hurricane Season Forecast: June 1 Through November 30
NOAA 2022 Hurricane Forecast- Above Normal Again
Forecast From Colorado State University
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*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:
I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse.
All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline.
I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…
It’s part of my charm.