June 7 2022
Tuesday Morning Report
Our recent nearly perfect weather pattern is about to come to and end, but we do need the rain. Today a cold front will be approaching with scattered storms during the afternoon and evening. Not a washout, but hit or miss boomers through tonight.
The next rain event will be Wednesday night, which I will elaborate on below. Then a larger system may make part of the weekend wet.
The cold front is approach from the west. That line of storms will break up a little, but still provide the energy for more daytime showers and thunderstorms to develop mid afternoon through tonight.
Here is a look at the HRRR and NAM 3 Km Model simulations. I will post a more detailed slider later this morning…
Both agree with scattered showers starting to our west after Noon. Then more widespread storms AFTER 5 PM up through 10 PM.
Normal Low in Baltimore: 59ºF
Record 47ºF in 1884
Normal High in Baltimore: 81ºF
Record 96ºF 1999
Notice the cooler temps (60s to near 70) to our west. This will be under advancing rain and storms.
Here we see the cluster of storms mostly overnight, and moving out in the morning.
Your weather app may be showing rain or a lightning bolt on both days, but the bulk will be during the dark hours.
This short wave will be swing through on a trough Saturday. That is a set up for a larger rain maker. The good news is that this looks like just a one day event. The back news, it will impact the start of the weekend.
After this moves through, we should let the warmer air return next week.
Tuesday and Wednesday will bring thunderstorms. They will not dominate the day, but be enough in the afternoon and evening to pay attention to. The next weather event on Saturday does look like a larger and longer lasting (day-long) event.
NOAA 2022 Hurricane Forecast- Above Normal Again
NOAA Study: Reducing Air Pollution INCREASED Tropical Storms
Atlantic Tropical History: Maps of Origin Regions Every 10 Days
May 16 Large Hail Videos And Storm Tracking Map
*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:
I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell. I didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse.
All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline.
I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…
It’s part of my charm.
