October 17 Weather Cool Today Then Some Warming And Rain Returns Friday

October 17, 2023

Monday Morning Update

Temps are still cool and the leaves are turning in more areas. While temperatures remain below average, we will have a few mild days ahead this week. The pick of the week will be Thursday, followed by rain returning Friday and this weekend. Yes, it does appear that we are stuck in the pattern of soggy Saturdays. This will be followed by a stronger surge of colder air into early next week.

Fall Foliage In Central Maryland

Morning Surface Weather

High Pressure and a few quiet days ahead. While the unsettled upper air trough may still keep some variable clouds and cool temps around, the larger pattern shows a few dry and warm days ahead.

Morning Temperatures

Wind Forecast: 8 AM to 8 PM

The airflow will be from the North but will likely average under 10 mph. Some gusts to 15 mph.

Tuesday Afternoon

CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore

TODAY October 17

Sunrise at 7:18 AM

Sunset at 6:25 PM

Normal Low in Baltimore:  46ºF

Record 33ºF in 1982

Normal High in Baltimore: 68ºF

Record 90ºF 1938

NEW REPORT

Winter Weather: Can Woolley Bear Caterpillar Stripes Really Foretell Snow?

New Reports:

Drought Report September 28

El Niño Advisory: First Look At NOAA’s Winter Outlook Expectations

Winter Outlook 2024 From Two Farmers Almanacs

Return to Cold and Snow

Subscribe for eMail Alerts

Temperatures Wednesday 

Still chilly but modifying a little.

Morning

Afternoon

Next Storm: Looking Ahead: Cold Pattern

Jet Stream Thursday to Sunday

This upper air pattern shows a feature called a Negatively Tilted Trough. This is what will allow the cold air to pivot the coastal storm up to the North as the air mass from Canada will follow in with chilly winds this weekend.

Snapshot Saturday

This formation is what will help develop the next east coast storm.

Snapshot Sunday

As the storm wraps up in New England, it will pull strong winds and much colder air into our region.

GFS Model – Friday Afternoon to Sunday Afternoon

This next storm does look like two parts that will feed into one larger setup. The initial coastal rain will develop on Friday while the main event will shift through the Ohio Valley.

This will increase the circulation with more rain and stronger winds Saturday into Sunday as that storm cranks up into New England.

Friday Afternoon

Scattered showers in metro areas through Delmarva with the coastal winds, while steady rain will advance from the Ohio Valley into the Mountains.

Snapshot Saturday

Steady rain in the morning. We may get a break in the afternoon, but it will be chilly and damp.

Sunday Morning

Another band of rain may start the day with lingering but scattered showers through the afternoon. This day will be dominated by strong winds from the north with gusts over 30 mph.

7 Day Forecast

The next two days will be the nicest in a while. We should get back to the lower 70s with sun on Thursday, then remaining mild on Friday as rain develops.

This weekend’s rain may spread out through Sunday morning. The dominant feature will be the colder winds…

If you are going to the Ravens game you will feel it.

Subscribe for eMail Alerts

Aurora Photos From Maryland, Delaware, and Virginia

Please share your thoughts and best weather pics/videos, or just keep in touch via social media

• Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist

• Twitter

• Instagram

RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.  There has been no editor who can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm.

#FITF