January 23 Snow Ends Storm North Today Starts Storm Wednesday

January 23 2023

Monday Morning Report

The coastal storm is definitely an adjustment to our weather pattern. In a normal winter, we would have had more snow, but the cold air has been limited. It is trying to follow in on the back end, and already a change over to snow is showing up in the mountains of western Maryland and central Pennsylvania.

As mentioned in prior reports, there will be a brief period of snow for the COLDER INLAND AREAS NORTH OF BALTIMORE. This will not include all of central Maryland, but many will see snow falling for an hour or two. Perhaps even a coating on the grass.

The next storm will have colder air and a morning arrival on Wednesday to perhaps provide our first real chance for snow and stickage this winter.

Radar Snapshot

Snow is mixing over near the Maryland and Pennsylvania state line.

Headlines

• Today: Snow Ends This Storm NORTH
• Wednesday: Snow Starts Next Storm
• Timing Is The Key To Who May Get Some Minor Accumulation

Morning Temperatures

Temps are dropping a little.

Morning Surface Weather

Radar Simulation: 7 AM to 5 PM

This NAM 3 Km Model shows the brief change to snow for hills NORTH of Baltimore.

Another band of flurries (NORTH) around lunchtime.

Snapshots

NAM 3 Km Model

Snow falling and perhaps laying on the grass may INCLUDE: Westminster, Hereford, Jarrettsville, York, Lancaster, and Harrisburg.

This will be a quick hour or two of falling flakes, roads remains wet.

HRRR Model

This is a similar plot to the NAM 3 Km adding more confidence of the change over.

Afternoon Temperatures

Briefly reaching the 40s, then dropping off. It will feel colder with the wind.

Wind Forecast

• Winds will increase midday and afternoon.
• Steady: 15 to 20 mph
• Gusts: Over 30 mph

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CLIMATE DATA

TODAY January 23

Normal Low in Baltimore:  25ºF

Record 0ºF in 1936

SNOW: 25.5” 2016

Normal High in Baltimore: 43ºF

Record 73ºF 1967

Anniversary Of Baltimore’s Largest Snowstorm

Climate Trivia

Latest Measurable Snow In Baltimore

Today Tied For 5th Latest

Feb 21 in 1973 (50 years ago)

Feb 6 in 1914 (109 years ago)

Jan 25 in 1992 ( 31 years ago)

Jan 25 in 1901 ( 122 years ago)

Jan 22 in 1966 (57 years ago)

Jan 21 in 1907 (116 years ago)

Tuesday Weather

Morning Temperatures

Afternoon Temperatures

Scanning The Next Storm

The Wednesday Event will interact with Strong High Pressure sending Cold Air farther south from New England. It looks like we may see snow (near and inland from Baltimore) late morning, and last into the afternoon.

10 AM Wednesday  Snapshot

Timing the arrival will make or break who can get in on the accumulating snow. There is work to be done on this one, but there is a chance for Baltimore City to break the snow drought!

Storm Animation

ECMWF Model 7 AM WED to 7 PM THU

7 Day Forecast

I ran into a glitch in my graphic program this morning.

Monday: Ending As a mix of snow North of Baltimore

• High = 43F

Tuesday: Partly Cloudy, Windy

• Low= 32ºF
• High = 46ºF

Wednesday: Snow To Rain

• Low= 32ºF
• High = 44ºF

Thursday: Breezy, A Flurry

• Low 40ºF
• High = 48ºF

Friday: Partly Cloudy, Breezy

• Low= 32ºF
• High = 39ºF

SNOWSTIX – Available Now

STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back

Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school

My Winter Outlook: Not A Typical La Niña!

I see many factors to support colder influence with multiple systems. Early and later in winter. Check it out.

Winter Outlook 2023 For Snow Not Typical La Niña Plus Polar Vortex Disruption

Also See The Winter Outlook Series:

Atmospheric Memory Suggests Active Winter Storm Pattern Outlook

Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs

Farmer’s Almanac Comparison

Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs

Triple Dip La Niña Winter

Winter Outlook 2023 La Niña Triple Dip Expectations

CONNECTION TO WINTER?

If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season. (You might be seeing a lot of commercial snow removal people out this Winter).

Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following

Wooly Bear Caterpillars

Winter Weather Outlook From The Wooly Bear Caterpillar

Persimmon Seeds

Winter Weather Outlook: Persimmon Seeds And Snow Folklore

Click to see Top 20 and MORE

Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow

Normals And Records: Maryland and Baltimore Climate History

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