May 27 2022 Mid Day Report
Our region is under both a Tornado Watch AND a Flood Watch. The first of a few rounds of storms will move through over the next few hours. Then more will develop at any point through midnight.
The irony is that I will be at a school doing my last Storm Smart STEM assemblies for the school year. We will discuss this event, but I will not be able to update again here until later.
In the meantime, I wanted to share the late morning HRRR Model radar simulation and have you compare it to the current radar. You may be traveling for the holiday weekend, and it might help you make a decision to possibly wait until Saturday morning and still enjoy your Memorial Day Weekend.
Low Pressure is centered in Missouri, with the strong flow of moisture from Tampa northward to Detroit. The is the band of rain and storms we expect on Friday.
A Watch means it Might happen. There is Potential but NOT A PROMISE. This will cover many hours and many counties or states.
A Warning will be issued when conditions are HAPPENING NOW and being tracked. This is short term and will include particular towns involved.
This is for the first line of storms into early afternoon. See the simulation below.
This is for the collection of multiple storms through tonight. They may bring between 1 to 3 inches of rainfall quickly.
NAM 3 Km Model 12 PM Friday to Midnight
Most of the Mid Atlantic has the potential for heavy rain today. This will affect travel for the holiday and you might want to wait until tomorrow morning to hit the road.
NOAA has issued a Slight Risk, or Level 2 of 5 for our region.
This means that any storm has the chance, but not a promise to turn severe.
The threats include:
Damming Winds over 60 mph
Large Hail over 1 inch
Flash Flooding
Isolated Tornado
Saturday’s Storm Risk will be only widely scattered in the afternoon. The holiday weekend will end with some heat, then a true heat wave next week.
Click here to access The Baltimore Sun
The back end of the Memorial Day Weekend begins our heat wave that will extend into next week.
May 16 Large Hail Videos And Storm Tracking Map
NOAA Study: Reducing Air Pollution INCREASED Tropical Storms
Atlantic Tropical History: Maps of Origin Regions Every 10 Days
*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:
I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell. I didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse.
All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline.
I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…
It’s part of my charm.
