December 20, 2023
Wednesday Morning Update
There is one more day until the winter solstice, but we are in a pattern that feels like winter this week. It will be a quiet pattern with temperatures slightly below average. The next storm system appears to be one week away, which puts our Christmas holiday in quiet and mild mode.
The longer-range outlook does show the change next week. While it will turn mild into next week, the next arctic surge and perhaps pattern change may show up before the end of the year.
As the storm continues to move off the coast and High Pressure settles in, we will have a few days ahead that remain calm and chilly!
Light flow from the Northwest will continue to keep us cool.
I was at my old TV station, WBAL, yesterday visiting with Tony Pann and Tom Tasselmyer.
Below are some photos and the video of the Weather Talk Podcast if you want to listen to our conversation about this El Niño Winter.
Sunrise at 7:22 AM
Sunset at 4:47 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 29ºF
Record 6ºF in 1919
Normal High in Baltimore: 46ºF
Record 67ºF 1877
More sunshine and lighter winds. Temps will remains chilly but closer to average.
Finally, breaking down High Pressure with one disturbance over the weekend. That may bring showers north, but appears to be just a cloud machine.
The next storm will arrive Tuesday.
This shows the jet stream, NOT temperatures. It will be mild ahead of the next storm.
The next arctic surge and return of winter appears to arrive before the end of the year… at the end of next week.
Not much action over the week ahead. A little disturbance may bring clouds this weekend.
Christmas looks mild and quiet.
Showers mark the next storm, then colder air at the end of next week!
Computer Models Support East Coast Storm Track
The latest NOAA report is confident in a Very Strong event. Possibly HISTORIC! This refers to the temperatures in the Pacific, with impacts on the US Winter Storm Track.
Winter Weather Folklore: Top 20 and more signals from nature for snow.
Winter Outlook 2024 From Two Farmers Almanacs Return to Cold and Snow
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I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. There has been no editor who can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm.
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