November 15, 2023

Wednesday Morning Update

The southern storm is taking form. This is something that may be common with this El Niño winter. A slow-moving storm system across the northern Gulf of Mexico will bring rain to Florida, then reform off the east coast.

We will have more clouds, especially in the southern areas today with the far reach of the developing storm. But the outlook is not favorable for our needed rain. It will help to bring in warmer air for a few days, then a sharp cold snap will arrive for Thanksgiving week!

Morning Temperatures

Seasonably Chilly

Morning Surface Weather

The Gulf Coast Storm is responsible for the clouds that have spread in overnight. There will be more clouds south of Baltimore and less to the north.

Satellite Loop 4 AM to 6 AM

Afternoon Temperatures

El Niño Winter Updates

Computer Models Support East Coast Storm Track

El Niño Advisory

The latest NOAA report is confident in a Very Strong event. Possibly HISTORIC! This refers to the temperatures in the Pacific, with impacts on the US Winter Storm Track.

CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore

TODAY November 15

Sunrise at 6:50 AM

Sunset at 4:52 PM

Normal Low in Baltimore:  37ºF

Record 19ºF in 1986

Normal High in Baltimore: 58F

Record 79ºF 1993

Winter Outlook Reports:

Winter Weather Folklore: Top 20 and more signals from nature for snow.

NOAA’s Winter Outlook 2024

Winter Outlook 2024 From Two Farmers Almanacs Return to Cold and Snow

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Temperatures Thursday Morning

Thursday Afternoon

Storm Simulation

Friday Afternoon

Friday Afternoon to Saturday Evening

Watching the coastal Low form off the east coast of Florida, it is expected to move farther east and miss us. The cold front from the west may bring us showers Friday night, but not much to help our growing drought.

Closer View Snapshots

Friday Evening

Saturday Early Morning

Saturday Afternoon

Jet Stream: Friday Afternoon to Wednesday Afternoon

Warmer temps begin to wane by Sunday, then the next surge of cold air will surge in Thanksgiving week. This may feed into the next storm expected by Wednesday.

Snapshot Wednesday: Much Colder!

7 Day Forecast

Brief rain Friday night into early Saturday morning. Then the colder air arrives on Sunday into next week.

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Explore More

Maryland Snow Climate History And Other Winter Pages

Faith in the Flakes Gear

STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back

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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.  There has been no editor who can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm.

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