May 24 2023
Wednesday Evening Update
With the big holiday weekend approaching, I wanted to give a preview of what we can expect. I understand the importance of planning for your trip or time with family and friends. We are in a situation where we almost have to laugh at what is on the way. There may be some days this winter that will look nicer side by side with part of Memorial Weekend.
That trend of wet weekends will sort of continue, but it will not be a complete washout. However, not the best time at the beach.
If you are traveling south to Virginia Beach, the Outer Banks, or South Carolina, it is going to be a washout there
The storm forming near Miami is the focus for the Southeast US into the holiday weekend. It does have some tropical moisture, but will not be an early named system. That is not for lack of trying, however it will slowly track closer and inland.
Jet Stream Forecast:
Friday to Memorial Monday
A large cool pool of air trapped under this trough in the Eastern US, will aid in wrapping around the Storm… This will pull in around the storm early in the weekend, then slowly move our way Sunday and Monday.
I wanted to start with this snapshot to show how confined the storm is expected to be off the South Carolina coast.
Forecast Animation: Friday to Monday
For our region, the best chance of rain will be Sunday. Then the unsettled area will pulse with breaks and more showers developing in the afternoon through Monday and Tuesday.
For vacationers heading to North or South Carolina, this looks like a washout, at least for the start of the holiday. Then scattered showers will linger there Sunday and Monday.
The storm will be moving slowly, and NOT HERE YET! However, the winds from the ocean may add enough moisture to produce a mist or some light showers along the coast.
This appears to be a consistent time the models have been pushing for rain to be in place. This will be the day with the strongest winds, coolest temperatures, and best chance for rain.
A band of rain will push inland through metro areas and into the mountains. This band of rain will slowly build north, but more showers surrounding this focused line are likely not showing up on this model.
Wind Forecast: Saturday To Monday
A chilly and damp Easterly wind will build Saturday and max out Sunday. Then ease on Monday.
Snapshot Sunday Morning
Winds will average 10 to 20 mph inland, with a push up to 30 mph along the beaches. This will keep the chill in place along with periods of steady rain, showers, and spray in between.
The offshore wave height will range between 8 and 14 Feet east of Rehoboth and Ocean City.
Shoreline waves should be up in the 4 to 6 foot range. This may get local surfers out, but dangerous rip currents along with the chill will keep most out of the water.
Weekend Afternoon Temperatures
Ocean City, Maryland is highlighted in the blue box.
Beach Forecast: Ocean City
Weather, high temperature, sun times, and tides.
7 Day Forecast: Central Maryland
STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back
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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos, and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes, and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it: I have dyslexia, and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing, and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. There has been no editor that can check my work when I needed it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos, when she is able. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm.
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