March 20, 2023
Monday Morning
This is the last morning of winter. The spring equinox is at 5:24 PM and then we will be off to the races… for warming that is. Until then, we have deep winter chill in place. The deep freeze this morning has likely compromised the early flower blooms. While urban areas may avoid the freeze tomorrow, inland areas still have more time to deal with this.
The main story to start this week will be the frigid temperatures to start today.
While we get this cold last morning of winter, there is High Pressure building in. This means light wind and sunshine. We will gradually get into the warmer air over the next few days.
Spring Breakers in south Florida are getting rain again.
The western US continues with their stormy pattern of rain and mountain snow.
I am showing this BECAUSE there is not much to show. The breeze will be light.
With light wind and sunshine, these cool temps will feel more comfortable.
Normal Low in Baltimore: 35ºF
Record 12ºF in 1885
SNOW: 4.1” in 1965
Normal High in Baltimore: 56ºF
Record 85ºF in 1945
Many areas will once again drop below freezing.
A ridge will build with warmer air later this week. This be followed by yet another weekend with cooler air behind that storm.
The first wave of showers will be light and scattered. The chance of rain will increase Thursday into the start of the weekend. This will come with warmer air.
Another cold morning, but a gradual warming trend this week. We will get a jump to the 60s and 70s before the weekend with the next storm.
My REALISTIC Expectations for the COLD OUTLOOK
Winter History: Low Snow And Late Starts
See my research based on Baltimore data since 1883.
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos, and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes, and even the computer glitches I may miss.
I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:
I have dyslexia, and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing, and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki and he was absolutely correct!
I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect predicting the future.
All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There has been no editor that can check my work when I needed it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos, when she is able. That could be AFTER you read this.
I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…
It’s part of my charm.
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I see many factors to support colder influence with multiple systems. Early and later in winter. Check it out. https://justinweather.com/2022/11/22/winter-outlook-2023-for-snow-not-typical-la-nina-plus-polar-vortex-disruption/
Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs
https://justinweather.com/2022/09/09/winter-outlook-2023-la-nina-triple-dip-expectations/
If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season. https://justinweather.com/2022/08/31/record-august-for-no-named-tropical-storms-closer-look-at-snow-following/
https://justinweather.com/2022/10/25/winter-weather-outlook-from-the-wooly-bear-caterpillar/
