November 7 Record Warm Morning Cooler Weekend AND Hurricane Rafael Update
November 7, 2024 Thursday Morning Report We are just on the edge of a cold front that will transition our weather back to reality for the weekend. However, after a…
February 6 Mild Temps Again On Anniversary Of The First Of Twin Blizzards In 2010
snow report
Maryland Weather
climate data
Winter Weather
Forecast
February 6 2023
Monday Morning
We have already turned the corner. The historic cold air (for New England) and our bitter chill has quickly changed. Today will be a rather pleasant day by early February standards. We have a warm week ahead, but there is still some attempt of winter trying to show up next weekend.
Today is the anniversary day of two of the most extreme snow weeks on record in our region. This was the 5th largest snow storm, but the first of two blizzards to hit in 5 days of 2010. See today’s anniversary event below.
Morning Surface Weather
A shift of winds still has variable cloud cover, however the winds are shifting from the Southwest and will pump in warmer air for a few days.
Local Weather
Morning Temperatures
Waking up with a lot of the region in the 40s.
Wind Forecast 7 AM to 7 PM
A gusty wind of 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts will keep some chill in the air.
Afternoon Temperatures
Near to sightly above average. However, there will be a noticeable wind to keep some chill in the air.
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CLIMATE DATA
TODAY February 6
Normal Low in Baltimore: 26ºF
Record 1ºF in 1895
SNOW: 16.0” 2010
Normal High in Baltimore: 45ºF
Record 72ºF 2008
Climate Trivia: 2010 Blizzards
Today was the culmination of the first of two blizzards to hit in February of 2010. Both record storms helped bring 50 inches of snow to Baltimore in February that year. That is more than double an average season.
It started a controversial debate during the afternoon. There were a few hours left of the heavy snow and about to break the all time record, then NWS stopped reporting measurements. Then retroactively they lowered the snow totals, dating back to 2000. This was explained as different methods of snow measurements from NWS standards and FAA guidelines. The NWS Observer was removed in budget cuts, leaving the FAA to monitor observations at BWI.
Both record storms added to a total 50 inches of snow to Baltimore that February. That is more than double an average season. The season total was 77 inches. That was more than triple an average season!
Tuesday Weather
Morning Temperatures
Not as cold.
Afternoon Temperatures
Many will aim for 50ºF, but added clouds may limit the boost.
Tuesday Afternoon To Wednesday Morning
This cold front will be falling apart. The line of rain showers seems to break up as it crosses our region Tuesday night. This is quite symbolic of the cold air having trouble getting here and holding ground. Beyond this we get into the next spring like set up later in the week.
Storm Animation Thursday Morning To Saturday Night
The ECMWF Model storm pattern does ride the warm air and the same old storm track well to our west. This brings us yet another rain event. Then a possible last wave shifting south with colder air and an attempt to bring inland snow. But this solution shows the storm in New England, well to our north at this time.
Next Weekend Snapshot
Once again both the European ECMWF and GFS Models have shown a storm beyond a week, then as we get closer they lose it. The timing in the modeling is simply off. This is the latest set up which keeps snow showers nearby, but the surface Low well to our north in New England.
There is still something to watch, but it does not look promising at this time.
7 Day Forecast
Not much to see here and if you want snow, look away… until Saturday. We are once again in a rare mild pattern, however there is a signal for colder air next weekend. At this point, there is a small chance for rain or snow showers next weekend. But I am going to lay low on this unless there is an abrupt shift in the set up.
Also See:
Winter History: Low Snow And Late Starts
See my research based on Baltimore data since 1883.
NOAA Outlook: Colder Start To February
Click here for the full report
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STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back
Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school
My Winter Outlook: Not A Typical La Niña!
I see many factors to support colder influence with multiple systems. Early and later in winter. Check it out.
Also See The Winter Outlook Series:
Atmospheric Memory Suggests Active Winter Storm Pattern Outlook
Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs
Farmer’s Almanac Comparison
Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs
Triple Dip La Niña Winter
https://justinweather.com/2022/09/09/winter-outlook-2023-la-nina-triple-dip-expectations/
CONNECTION TO WINTER?
If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season.
Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following
Wooly Bear Caterpillars
Persimmon Seeds
Click to see Top 20 and MORE
Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow
Normals And Records: Maryland and Baltimore Climate History
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