January 10 2023

Tuesday Morning Report

Yawn! This is a boring and uneventful weather pattern.  Temperatures for our region will be seasonably cool but just above average. Additional clouds may add to the chill and winter feel, but no winter weather in sight. In fact, I wrote about the warm temperature outlook into next week, but there will be a blip this weekend… Plus still lots of reasons to believe the pattern will flip soon enough. Just not in our short range outlook. 

Headlines

• Seasonably Cool
• More clouds 
• Thursday and Friday: Warmer with Rain
• Weekend: Cooler and maybe flurries to end.

Morning Temperatures

Where is the cold air? Not much around now as we enter the climatological coldest part of the year. 

Surface Weather

The storm pattern continues for the west coast. This latest event has been responsible for at least 14 deaths, mostly from flooding. This will race inland to the Great Lakes. That is the simple story… the track of the storms keeps us on the warmer side.

Over the next few days however, a simple upper air disturbance keeps clouds around. 

California Storm Video

San Lorenzo Creek raging in King City, #california this afternoon, video, courtesy: @LopezForSup #CAwx @NWSBayArea pic.twitter.com/8ryB29Q0Qz

— Dann Cianca (@danncianca) January 9, 2023

Local Flooding

San Lorenzo Creek raging in King City, #california this afternoon, video, courtesy: @LopezForSup #CAwx @NWSBayArea pic.twitter.com/8ryB29Q0Qz

— Dann Cianca (@danncianca) January 9, 2023

3 PM Temperatures

These numbers are near seasonal average highs. We should see some sun breaking back out.

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CLIMATE DATA

TODAY January 10

Normal Low in Baltimore:  26ºF

Record -2ºF in 1875

SNOW: 5.0” 1965

Normal High in Baltimore: 43ºF

Record 70ºF 1950

Wednesday 

Morning

Milder with more cloud cover.

Afternoon 

Feeling cool with more clouds.

Looking Ahead:

I gave in to the warmer solution for the next storm. This will track to our west and north, allowing southerly winds to move in. Storm Animation:

ECMWF Model 7 AM THU to 7 PM SAT

The result may start with rain showers Thursday, then steady and heavier rain Friday.

Snapshot Saturday Afternoon

The coastal Low will move off the coast, but the upper level Cold Core Low will pass to our south.  Last night the European Model showed a band of snow, and note it is restricted to the mountains. This set up does support flurries. 

NOAA Warm Weather Outlook

I posted this report on Monday. This look into next week shows the mild weather returning, but it’s not the full story. It may look like winter is over, but there is still plenty of support (from others) to not give up our guard or FITF.

7 Day Forecast

Rain showers Thursday into Friday morning. Then the colder air will follow (again).

Faith in the Flakes Gear

What is Faith in the Flakes?

It began with my son in 2009

December 5th Snow In Baltimore And The Start Of Faith In The Flakes FITF

SNOWSTIX – Available Now

STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back

Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school

My Winter Outlook: Not A Typical La Niña!

I see many factors to support colder influence with multiple systems. Early and later in winter. Check it out.

Winter Outlook 2023 For Snow Not Typical La Niña Plus Polar Vortex Disruption

Also See The Winter Outlook Series:

Atmospheric Memory Suggests Active Winter Storm Pattern Outlook

Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs

Farmer’s Almanac Comparison

Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs

Triple Dip La Niña Winter

Winter Outlook 2023 La Niña Triple Dip Expectations

CONNECTION TO WINTER?

If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season. (You might be seeing a lot of commercial snow removal people out this Winter).

Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following

Wooly Bear Caterpillars

Winter Weather Outlook From The Wooly Bear Caterpillar

Persimmon Seeds

Winter Weather Outlook: Persimmon Seeds And Snow Folklore

Click to see Top 20 and MORE

Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow

Normals And Records: Maryland and Baltimore Climate History

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