November 29, 2022
Tuesday Morning Update
There are two severe storm seasons in the US. The first is in Spring, the second in Autumn. Today will represent that second round with a surge of warm air battling the oncoming winter air mass, and they will meet up across the lower Mississippi River Valley. The net result may be a tornado outbreak.
The concern is that the remaining energy, although weakening, will reach us tomorrow. We will get morning rain, then very strong winds in the afternoon. Gusts over 50 mph in parts of our region are possible.
Moderate Risk (Level 4 of 5) = Red
Enhanced Risk (Level 3) = Orange
Slight Risk (Level 2) = Yellow
Central Mississippi is at the highest risk for supercell thunderstorms and tornadoes.
High is Dry! That big blue H is High Pressure and is in control of the Eastern US.
A band of snow has developed from Denver to Minneapolis on the arctic side of the pattern.
To the South: Storms are expected to erupt with afternoon heating as new Low-Pressure forms.
Afternoon Temperatures
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CLIMATE DATA
TODAY November 29
Normal Low in Baltimore: 33ºF
Record 13ºF in 1955
SNOW: 1.0 inches in 1952
Normal High in Baltimore: 52ºF
Record 74ºF 1927
Record Snow Cover Across The Northern Hemisphere
How The Winter Weather Pattern May Develop In Early December
I expect Wind Advisories may be issued today (for tomorrow).
Peak gusts near and north of Baltimore may exceed 50 mph!
Cooling down behind the rain
I see many factors to support colder influence with multiple systems. Early and later in winter. Check it out.
Winter Outlook 2023 For Snow Not Typical La Niña Plus Polar Vortex Disruption
Atmospheric Memory Suggests Active Winter Storm Pattern Outlook
Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs
Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs
If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season. (You might be seeing a lot of commercial snow removal people out this Winter).
Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following
Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow
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