Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 12/05/2022 09:10:03 am
Temperature

34°

Mostly Cloudy

26°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

72%

Feels Like

34°

Wind (N)

0mph

Air Pressure

30.28

Sun
Sun Rise

07:10 AM

Sun Set

04:43 PM

Day Length

09:33 Hours

Difference

1 min 0 sec loss

Moon
Moon Rise

03:09 PM

Moon Set

04:37 AM

Next: Full Moon

Dec 07,2022

Moon Phase

Waxing Gibbous

Climate
Average Low

31°

49°

Average High
Record Low

16°


(1966)

75°


(2001)
Record High
Current Conditions

November 20 Record Cold Today And Thanksgiving Weekend Outlook

NFL Football Game
Maryland Weather
climate data
Record Weather
Winter Weather
Forecast

November 20 2022

Sunday Morning Update 

The core of the cold air has arrived. You may have noticed the wind pounding outside already. The final surge in this event has pushed through with a burst of wind overnight. As soon as we get the sun shining, this will mix the atmosphere and develop more wind into the afternoon. Combine this with the cold air mass and the thermometer will struggle. In fact, the high temperatures may have already been reached.

For Baltimore, that was 36ºF between 4:30 AM and 5:30 AM.  The thermometer at BWI may struggle to get back there this afternoon. So if this holds or is matched, it will break the old record for COLDEST DAY (Nov 20) set at 38ºF in 1984

For the 71,000 people expected at the Ravens Game today in Baltimore, BUNDLE UP! It will feel very cold, especially when standing or sitting outside for a few hours.

 

Extreme Weather

Top Wind Gusts and Low Wind Chills This Morning

From NWS Baltimore/Washington Region

MARYLAND

Wind gusts in mph

  Blackwalnut Harbor       39   430 AM 11/20  WXFLOW

…Frederick County…

  Sabillasville 3 SSW      47   439 AM 11/20  AWOS

…Garrett County…

  I-68 At Us 219           46   339 AM 11/20  MESOWEST

VIRGINIA

…Augusta County…

  Afton 3 SW               53   205 AM 11/20  Mesonet

WEST VIRGINIA

…Berkeley County…

  Martinsburg Arpt         40   409 AM 11/20  ASOS

…Grant County…

  Petersburg 1 W           45  1120 PM 11/19  AWOS

…Mineral County…

  Cumberland Reg           39   435 AM 11/20  AWOS

…Pendleton County…

  Upper Tract              47  1117 PM 11/19  RAWS

*************************WIND CHILL*************************

LOCATION                 WIND      TIME/DATE  COMMENTS

                        CHILL       MEASURED

                      (deg F)

MARYLAND

…Garrett County…

  Frostburg 5 WNW        -6.0   440 AM 11/20  Wind Chill

  I-68 At Us 219         -5.0   439 AM 11/20  Wind Chill

  Accident 2 NNE         -4.0   445 AM 11/20  Wind Chill

  Garrett County Airpo   -2.0   435 AM 11/20  Wind Chill

  McHenry                -1.0   445 AM 11/20  Wind Chill

VIRGINIA

…Highland County…

  Monterey               -1.0   430 AM 11/20  Wind Chill

WEST VIRGINIA

…Hampshire County…

  Slanesville           -14.0  1049 PM 11/19  Wind Chill

 

Morning Temps at 7 AM

 

Morning Surface Weather

These winds are the final push form this cold air mass.  These same winds are still producing Lake Effect Snow, however the winds have shifted and the intensity is not the same as the last few days.

 

In case You Missed This…

My Lake Effect Snow Posts Yesterday

 

 

 

Record Snow At Orchard Park

 

 

 

Wind Forecast: 7 AM to 7 PM

Steady, strong winds will last much of the day, but begin to settle down late afternoon and evening. 

3 PM Snapshots

Wind Speed

Steady winds 10 to 20 mph

Wind Gusts

Peak Winds up to 30 mph

 

Temperatures Afternoon

The record COLDEST AFTERNOON (MAX TEMP) was 38ºF in 1984.  This forecast would set a new record!

 

Wind Chills 

Most of the region will feel like the 30s or colder. 

CLIMATE DATA

TODAY November 20

Normal Low in Baltimore:  35ºF

Record 22ºF in 1951 

(Coldest AFTERNOON HIGH = 38ºF in 1984)

SNOW: 2” in 1955

Normal High in Baltimore: 56ºF

Record 79ºF 1942

 

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Monday Morning

Near or below freezing. This is NOT the record cold. That will be later in the day.

Monday Afternoon 

With less wind, temps 10 degrees warmer will actually feel pleasant.

Thanksgiving Storm Outlook

This storm continues to show up, but models are having trouble with the development. I mentioned this in my report a few days ago and still expect more fluctuations. So the specifics about timing and temperatures will adjust as the elements to form the storm get closer. 

The European Model still shows the storm on Friday, while the GFS has delayed the organization until Sunday, resulting in a milder more rain event. 

ECMWF- European Model 

November-20-thanksgiving-weekend-storm

Snapshot Friday 

While we see all rain here, I’ve highlighted the line where freezing temps are identified at cloud level… Which could involve sleet or snow. It is still early….

GFS Model: Snapshot Sunday

This product is nearly 2 days later and a little warmer. This is the model that showed ice and snow for Friday just two days ago.

 

I have been showing you this to highlight that despite all the advances, long range forecasting heading into winter will continue to be a challenge and NOT trustworthy beyond a week. 

 

7 Day Forecast

 

 

Faith in the Flakes Gear

 

SNOWSTIX – Available Now

 

Also See: Winter Outlook Series:

Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs

 

 

ALSO, SEE THESE OTHER WINTER OUTLOOK REPORTS

Farmer’s Almanac Comparison

Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs

Triple Dip La Niña Winter

Winter Outlook 2023 La Niña Triple Dip Expectations

 

CONNECTION TO WINTER?

If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season. (You might be seeing a lot of commercial snow removal people out this Winter).

Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following

 

Wooly Bear Caterpillars

Winter Weather Outlook From The Wooly Bear Caterpillar

 

Persimmon Seeds

Winter Weather Outlook: Persimmon Seeds And Snow Folklore

 

Click to see Top 20 and MORE

Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow

 

Normals And Records: Maryland and Baltimore Climate History

 

STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back

Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school

 

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