October 6, 2022
Thursday Morning Update
Finally we get a change after 6 days with rain. The ghost of Ian circulation is moving well off the coast and allowing a return of sunshine and warmer temperatures. A cold front will move through Friday night, setting up a cooler weekend. If you are a Fall season lover, it will be perfect for flannels and pumpkin picking with the kids. If you are riding in the Seagull Century 100 mile bike race in Salisbury, I will be with you. It will be windy and cooler, but at least dry!
Back to today, we will feel it for sure considering the unusually cool start to October. In fact Baltimore is currently 7.3ºF BELOW AVERAGE with temperatures in the first five days:
October High temps (so far) at BWI
- 1st = 62ºF
- 2nd = 61ºF
- 3rd = 55ºF
- 4th = 55ºF
- 5th = 65ºF
So how does a few days in the 70s sound? Let’s start with why the sun will be back in full force and the clearing on the satellite loop.
Satellite Loop
The Ghost of Ian Nor’easter circulation is pushed to the right side of this screen well off the coast. The color enhanced clouds to the west is the next cold front that will arrive later Friday.
2 hours Ending at 5:51 AM
Morning Surface Weather
That cold front will help enhance the southerly wind ahead of it. That will push warmer air back in for us today and tomorrow. The cooler air will arrive for us this weekend.
Temperatures
Morning Temperatures
Still cool. We did have clouds most of yesterday and a clearing tonight.
4 PM
Much warmer
CLIMATE DATA
TODAY October 6
Normal Low in Baltimore: 50ºF
Record 35ºF in 2001
Normal High in Baltimore: 72ºF
Record 96ºF 1941
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Temperatures Friday
Morning
Actually a little warmer than normal.
Afternoon
Another warm day, but it will become breezy and not last!
About That Cold Front
The wider view of temperatures in the afternoon helps to show that new airmass reaching western Maryland and Pennsylvania at 4 PM.
McHenry at Deep Creek Lake should drop to the lower 50s, with 40s into western PA. Meanwhile, mid 70s to near 80ºF between Baltimore, Salisbury, and Richmond VA.
Wind Snapshot:
The shift in wind, increasing FROM the Northwest shows the influence of that new airmass.
Wind Forecast 4 PM Fri to 4 PM Sat
This helps show the cold front best. While there may be some showers, our chance is about 20%, especially at night across the Bay. The wind will be felt by all. As it shifts FROM the NW, steady wind will be 10 to 20 mph, but gusting over 30 mph.
7 Day Forecast
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PATTERN CHANGER?
Hurricane Ian May Help Cooler Pattern Change: Monitor For Atmospheric Memory This Winter
CONNECTION TO WINTER?
If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season.
Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following
Hurricane Season Forecast: June 1 Through November 30
NOAA 2022 Hurricane Forecast- Above Normal Again
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