2 PM July 25 2022
Monday Afternoon Update
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch was just issued for the region until 10 PM. This means there is potential for storms to turn severe, but not promised. This fits the Severe Outlook shown in this morning’s report. Note that some storm cells may produce damming wind, large hail. Isolated tornadoes, and flash flooding. Any storm may produce dangers lighting regardless of having a warning.
A Warning will be issued when there is a cell with these criteria already and being tracked through specific towns and counties.
In the post you will see the current conditions compared to the short range radar simulation and live radar/lightning widget below.
The front is on the move and already bringing rain and a cool down to parts of the areas. As mentioned this morning, this front may slow down or stall this week.. This included later today.
So the early stages of showers have been benign, they are expected to flare up across I-95 and possibly lead to multiple cells along the boundary where it hangs out late in southern Maryland.
Let’s compare the 2 PM Radar to the forecast from the HRRR Model… Then we can extrapolate how it plots out the rest of the day in the simulations below.
It is looking like the line of storms may begin to get very active and pop severe cells as it gets close to metro areas and I-95. This can be any time after 3 PM, then remain a force for Central Maryland around Rt 50 and south through Southern Maryland and the beaches until this evening.
We can see the influence of the previous rain cooling inland areas into the 80s and 70s. Far Western Maryland is in the 60s, but that is an elevation between 2,400 and 3,000 Ft.
The first image as the forecast. Compare that to the snapshot above…
This is the same product as above, just put in motion…
Potential For:
Any Storm May Bring
I will continue to post weather daily, but my attention will be shifting next week:
My all volunteer team will be hiking and biking 329 from the summit of Wisp to Ocean City in 7 days. We will be sharing the stories of kids in and post cancer treatment and need your support!
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Still no formal statement from The National Weather Service
July 12 Severe Storm Radar Scans: Was There A Tornado Or Not?
NOAA 2022 Hurricane Forecast- Above Normal Again
NOAA Study: Reducing Air Pollution INCREASED Tropical Storms
Atlantic Tropical History: Maps of Origin Regions Every 10 Days
May 16 Large Hail Videos And Storm Tracking Map
*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:
I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell. I didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse.
All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline.
I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…
It’s part of my charm.
