October 17 2022

Monday Morning Update 

A series of cold fronts will be surging in true FALL temperatures over the next two days.  It may not seem like it this morning with a mild start. This is ahead of the first front, which has brought a band of rain overnight and this morning across southern Maryland and the beaches. 

The next push will be noticeable by Tuesday morning. Colder winds will keep most of us in the 50s during the days, with 30s overnight. A Freeze Watch has been issued for Western Maryland, but I expect it to expand.

Lake Effect Snow will reach western Maryland with some stickage in the mountains, and a few flurries may pass metro areas mid week.

Morning Surface Weather

Morning Temperatures

Widespread 30s and 20s are being reported cross the Northern Plains into Central Canada. That is the source for our next air mass. 

Closer Look

Official weather stations at area airports.

Afternoon Temperatures 

Still mild, but the cold air is on the way.

Radar Simulation:

Showers and maybe a line of thunderstorms will try to develop AFTER 2 PM.

CLIMATE DATA

TODAY October 17

Normal Low in Baltimore:  46ºF

Record 33ºF in 1982

Normal High in Baltimore: 68ºF

Record 90ºF 1938

Tuesday

Freeze Watch: Far Western Maryland (for now).

This may expand east AND expect more counties by Wednesday Morning

Temperatures 

Morning

EXPLORE MORE: WHEN IS THE FIRST FROST?

Average Frost And Freeze Dates in Maryland and Pennsylvania

Tuesday Afternoon

Weather Set Up

A closed-off Upper Level Low will be spinning around Lake Erie. This will keep bringing colder winds across all the Great Lakes to produce clouds and snow showers. Snow will reach and may stick in the mountains of Western Maryland on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Tuesday Morning To Wednesday Afternoon

Lake Effect Snow reaches the Western Maryland Mountains. Snow is NOT showing up farther east, but there is a hint that upper level energy will allow some flurries to reach the inland suburbs west and north of Baltimore.

Snow Forecast (suggestion)

These first events very early in the season we need to consider:

• Timing of Snow Falling
• Melting Vs. Stickage

7 Day Forecast

Warmer weekend then much colder next week.

Faith in the Flakes Gear

SNOWSTIX – Available Now

ALSO SEE: Farmer’s Almanac Comparison

Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs

Winter Outlook 2023 La Niña Triple Dip Expectations

CONNECTION TO WINTER?

If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season.

Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following

Normals And Records: Maryland and Baltimore Climate History

Winter Weather Folklore Checklist

Also See: 

Fall Foliage Report And Photos Weekend October 15