Saturday October 16
We start off warm again, but will end chilly. Yesterday, BWI hit 85ºF, just missing matching the record. Today the heat ends as strong cold front will cross the region, bringing the chance for storms to turn severe. In addition it does appear the rain may actually last linger more than just one hour as I suggested yesterday.
Note: I will be trying something NEW today, and I hope it will help you throughout the day. See more below.
Morning Surface Weather
Temps start off feeling like summer ahead of the front. That cold front has already produces severe storms and tornado warnings in parts of western Pennsylvania. Behind the front, temps will drop quickly.
As for the rain, it will linger behind the front. So the duration should be longer than just one hour. See the timeline sliders below.
If you are heading out to a game or hiking, plan for wet weather AND a change from temps 75ºF to 80ºF to the 60s and 50s.
Severe Storm Risk
When we time that front during the afternoon, metro areas should expect the worst between 2 and 4 PM. One important factor is that the strongest part will be on the north end in Harford, Cecil, York, and Lancaster Counties.
NEW UPDATED ITEMS HERE
This new version of my website has alerts posted as they are issued. I can now post updates with important weather conditions quickly to help you plan.
Metro areas can expect the worst weather between 2 and 4 PM. If you are west and north it will be sooner. However, if you are south and east storms will be later. I want to help you track it where you are.
ACTION LINKS FOR…
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
Alerts On The Top Of The HOME PAGE
LIVE UPDATES
Click these to access: Quick posts with radar or other elements. I will try to update this every 30 minutes this afternoon, or as needed.
Live Update Page
Home Page – along with updated maps.
- You can also click my logo at the top to get there.
Rain Timelines
Compare Two Model Radar Simulation Sliders
HRRR Model –>
This timing is a little faster of the two, and shows a solid shield of rain.
NAM 3 KM Model –>
This timing is a little later, and shows multiple lines of rain.
Temperature Animation 9 AM to Midnight
Weather Almanac: Climate Data
TODAY October 16
Normal Low in Baltimore: 46ºF
Record 30ºF in 1876
Normal High in Baltimore: 67ºF
Record 90º F 1897
Also See:
Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip
Fall Foliage Report Oct 15
Sunday Weather
Morning Temperatures
Our first real taste of autumn chill.
Afternoon
Most areas will be 15 degrees cooler than Saturday’s high temps.
It will be chilly and help with the leaf color expanding.
Wind Forecast
It will be chilly at the Ravens. Gusts up to 30 mph could affect the kicking game.
Cloud Forecast
More clouds will mix across the sky north, with more sunshine south.
7 Day Forecast
Today we will finally usher in Autumn. After a few chilly days, another warm up is expected later in the week. The progression of shorter days and lower sun angle will help this be less potent…
Faith in the Flakes Gear
SNOWSTIX – Available Now
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