Current Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 11/27/2021 06:30:03 pm
Temperature

41°

Mostly Cloudy

19°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

41%

Feels Like

39°

Wind (W)

3mph

Air Pressure

29.98

Sun
Sun Rise

07:03 AM

Sun Set

04:45 PM

Day Length

09:42 Hours

Difference

1 min 25 sec loss

Moon
Moon Rise

07:00 PM

Moon Set

01:12 PM

Next: New Moon

Dec 04,2021

Moon Phase

Last Quarter

Climate
Average Low

33°

52°

Average High
Record Low

18°


(1991)

74°


(1896)
Record High
Current Conditions

October 16 Severe Storm Risk And Tracking The Rain Line

Forecast
Warnings

Saturday October 16

We start off warm again, but will end chilly. Yesterday, BWI hit 85ºF, just missing matching the record. Today the heat ends as strong cold front will cross the region, bringing the chance for storms to turn severe.  In addition it does appear the rain may actually last linger more than just one hour as I suggested yesterday.

Note: I will be trying something NEW today, and I hope it will help you throughout the day.  See more below. 

Morning Surface Weather

Temps start off feeling like summer ahead of the front. That cold front has already produces severe storms and tornado warnings in parts of western Pennsylvania.  Behind the front, temps will drop quickly. 

As for the rain, it will linger behind the front. So the duration should be longer than just one hour. See the timeline sliders below.

If you are heading out to a game or hiking, plan for wet weather AND a change from temps 75ºF to 80ºF to the 60s and 50s.

 

 

Severe Storm Risk

When we time that front during the afternoon, metro areas should expect the worst between 2 and 4 PM. One important factor is that the strongest part will be on the north end in Harford, Cecil, York, and Lancaster Counties.

 

NEW UPDATED ITEMS HERE

This new version of my website has alerts posted as they are issued. I can now post updates with important weather conditions quickly to help you plan. 

Metro areas can expect the worst weather between 2 and 4 PM. If you are west and north it will be sooner. However, if you are south and east storms will be later. I want to help you track it where you are.

ACTION LINKS FOR…

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

NWS Alert Page

Alerts On The Top Of The HOME PAGE

 

LIVE UPDATES

Click these to access: Quick posts with radar or other elements. I will try to update this every 30 minutes this afternoon, or as needed.

Live Update Page

Home Page – along with updated maps.

  • You can also click my logo at the top to get there.

 



 

Rain Timelines

Compare Two Model Radar Simulation Sliders

HRRR Model –>

This timing is a little faster of the two, and shows a solid shield of rain.

 

october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-12-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-1-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-2-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-3-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-4-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-5-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-6-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-7-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-8-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-9-pm
previous arrow
next arrow
october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-12-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-1-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-2-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-3-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-4-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-5-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-6-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-7-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-8-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-HRRR-saturday-9-pm
previous arrow
next arrow

 

 

NAM 3 KM Model –>

This timing is a little later, and shows multiple lines of rain.

 

october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-12-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-1-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-2-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-3-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-4-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-5-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-6-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-7-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-8-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-9-pm
previous arrow
next arrow
october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-12-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-1-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-2-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-3-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-4-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-5-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-6-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-7-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-8-pm
october-16-weather-storm-radar-NAM-saturday-9-pm
previous arrow
next arrow

 



 

Temperature Animation 9 AM to Midnight

october-16-weather-temperatures-saturday

 

Weather Almanac: Climate Data

TODAY October 16

Normal Low in Baltimore:  46ºF

Record 30ºF in 1876

Normal High in Baltimore: 67ºF

Record 90º F 1897

 

 

Also See:

Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip

Fall Foliage Report Oct 15

 

 

Sunday Weather

Morning Temperatures

Our first real taste of autumn chill.

 

Afternoon

Most areas will be 15 degrees cooler than Saturday’s high temps.

It will be chilly and help with the leaf color expanding.

 

Wind Forecast

It will be chilly at the Ravens. Gusts up to 30 mph could affect the kicking game.

 

Cloud Forecast

More clouds will mix across the sky north, with more sunshine south.

 

 

7 Day Forecast

Today we will finally usher in Autumn. After a few chilly days, another warm up is expected later in the week. The progression of shorter days and lower sun angle will help this be less potent…

 

 

 

Faith in the Flakes Gear

 

 

 

 

SNOWSTIX – Available Now

 

 

 

 

Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media

Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist

Twitter: @JustinWeather

Instagram: justinweather


Email Updates

Please make sure you sign up for my newsletter.

See the SUBSCRIBE button at the bottom of the page.

This way you will get an email to make sure you are notified with each new post.