June 14, 2023
Wednesday Morning Update
Today starts off cloudy with rain already falling in the hills and mountains across the western part of our region. We will track this into metro areas through lunchtime. Then some clearing and warming, while we watch afternoon thundershowers north and a second band of rain forming later this afternoon across southern Maryland.
Morning Surface Weather
Low Pressure in Northwest PA appears to be a little farther south than forecast. This is still passing north of our region which is a track that favors rain in the mountains, but breaking up farther east.
This is what we will see today, however the initial rain is already arriving this morning.
Live Radar Widget
Rain entering the region may not tend to look more impressive and arrive sooner than the simulation forecast maps below. I post this radar for you to compare.
Radar Forecast Animation
8 AM to 8 PM
This will be mostly a morning event for central areas. More storms will erupt north for Pennsylvania.
While central areas will clear out this afternoon, showers will develop from Southern Maryland later in the afternoon.
Radar Forecast Snapshots
11 AM
A line of rain will be moving through metro Baltimore and Washington with some pockets of heavy rain or thunder.
12 PM Noon
Pockets of thunder may include the Baltimore Beltway and northern suburbs.
1 PM
The initial line will break up.
4 PM
While central Maryland clears out, some thundershowers will pass through central PA AND the front will redevelop rain showers across southern Maryland.
Temperatures: Noon
Lunchtime will remain cool with rain showers.
Temperatures at 5 PM
With some clearing this afternoon, we should see a later time for the daily high in the upper 70s.
EXPLORE MORE
Building Drought As We Begin June
2023 Hurricane Season Forecast With An El Niño Watch
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CLIMATE DATA
TODAY June 14
Normal Low in Baltimore: 62ºF
Record 46ºF in 1978
Normal High in Baltimore: 84ºF
Record 98ºF 1994
Thursday
Morning Temperatures
Another rather chilly start, especially for the western suburbs where some areas will begin in the 40s to near 50ºF.
Afternoon Temperatures
Just below seasonal expectations.
Rain Forecast: Friday morning to Monday evening.
This looks like a repeat on Friday with rain showers, then after a warming and dry weekend, the next chance for rain will return Monday.
Jet Stream: Wednesday to Next Tuesday
The upper air pattern continues to send cooler and unsettled weather into the eastern US. We will see a warm-up this weekend, followed by cooler temps again next week.
NOAA Temperature Outlook
7 Day Forecast
The overall temperatures will remain near or below average. However, there will be some heat on Father’s Day Weekend, followed by cooling again next week.
The rain in sight is NOT a drought buster, but at least we see more days with showers.
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Also See:
La Niña Has Ended. El Niño May Return By Fall
Aurora Photos From Maryland, Delaware, and Virginia
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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos, and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes, and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it: I have dyslexia, and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing, and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. There has been no editor that can check my work when I needed it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos, when she is able. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm.
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