January 27 2023
Friday Morning Report
The disturbance I mentioned did produce snow squalls yesterday over the mountains and some flakes did carry east. The squalls have dropped over 4 inches of fresh snow on McHenry, Maryland. Some of the flurries are still moving over the mountains, which we have spotted on Doppler Radar this morning. I want to start with this brief look so you won’t be alarmed if you see them as well.
Our weekend will be mild, ending with light rain showers Sunday into Monday. Then we focus on the colder storm track and potential snow… a few hits are possible. At this stage I am simply showing the computer model guidance. I have already seen a shift from my report last night, but it’s not what you think. Check it out…
Light snow showers and flurries have moved from Hagerstown to parts of Frederick and Carroll Counties.
This light band is tracking across Taneytown to Westminster in Carroll County. It might reach Parkton and Hereford in Baltimore County in the next hour.
The disturbance we have discussed is bringing flurries and light snow out of the mountain to the inland suburbs this morning.
Average 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.
These numbers are seasonal. It will feel like winter.
It will feel like the 30s for most of us. Notice the bitter chill in the high mountains where there is fresh snow.
Latest Measurable Snow In Baltimore
Today Is Solo As 3rd Latest
Normal Low in Baltimore: 25ºF
Record 3ºF in 1987
SNOW: 4.3” 1925
Normal High in Baltimore: 43ºF
Record 72ºF 1974
Temperatures Morning
The freezing line will reach just west of the cities.
We turn the corner back to mild weather.
This is the more reliable European Model through Wednesday. Here we see light rain showers on Sunday shifting East on Monday. Then the next ‘system’ trying to produce snow by Thursday. Since my last report, this has shifted to the south and a day later. Please note some change has been expected, and more is likely to ‘adjust’ with the next few runs.
This is like Groundhog Day. Once again we have a potential storm that computer model guidance is having trouble locking on to. This track farther south may not hold.
These both show the snow a day later and a focus SOUTH of Baltimore. I am suspicious of this track. If this follows recent errors, it will adjust back north in the next few runs.
This weekend will be MILD.
Rain returns with showers Sunday and steady on Monday.
Next Week Storm? Worth Watching (European Model). The trend however, does show colder air.
Winter History: Low Snow And Late Starts
See my research based on Baltimore data since 1883.
Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school
I see many factors to support colder influence with multiple systems. Early and later in winter. Check it out.
Winter Outlook 2023 For Snow Not Typical La Niña Plus Polar Vortex Disruption
Atmospheric Memory Suggests Active Winter Storm Pattern Outlook
Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs
Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs
If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season.
Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following
Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow
