November 10 2022
Thursday Morning Update
Hurricane Nicole made a rare November landfall on Florida’s East Coast near Vero Beach. It was a Category 1 storm with 75 mph winds, making it the 8th hurricane of the Atlantic season. It brought a large area of storm surge up the coast. I’ve collected some videos below. As of now, it has been downgraded to a Tropical Storm again as it crosses inland Florida and eventually reaches us in the Mid Atlantic tomorrow.
Meanwhile, a large snowstorm with blizzard conditions and feet of snow are falling on the Northern Plains. It is quite the contrast and yet we get one nice day in between.
Morning Surface Weather
Tropical Storm Nicole crosses Florida. A snowstorm rages in the Northern Plains. We have a cold morning that will be followed by a warmer day ahead of Nicole.
The cold front will help steer Nicole and speed it up. This will be followed by colder air at the end of the weekend behind the storm.
Beautiful view from Miles City, MT as the snow quickly accumulates tonight. #mtwx pic.twitter.com/Zc6CHW3uZ2
— WeatherNation (@WeatherNation) November 10, 2022
The push of Atlantic water has been a long duration problem in places like Daytona.
DANGEROUS STORM SURGE: Video shows waves crashing in Daytona Beach Shores just before high tide. Hurricane Nicole is likely to bring dangerous storm surge to Florida’s east coast. pic.twitter.com/tLmYYS8NRw
— WESH 2 News (@WESH) November 10, 2022
Storm Chasers suggested this was STRONGER than they expected.
Nicole is a little stronger than I expected! #flwx @SevereStudios pic.twitter.com/fYwtBfnybK
— Jordan Hall (@JordanHallWX) November 10, 2022
Intense eyewall winds from Hurricane Nicole damage structure in Melbourne, FL #FLwx #HurricaneNicole pic.twitter.com/mFCquSKgBE
— Ryan Kelly (@EastWestWx) November 10, 2022
This large circulation is now centered on land, so the storm will inevitably get weaker as it expands north.
Control the view and loop control below.
7 AM THU to 10 AM Sat
A local look at the rain below.
It will be warmer than yesterday.
Normal Low in Baltimore: 38ºF
Record 24ºF in 2003
SNOW: 1” 1968
Normal High in Baltimore: 59ºF
Record 78ºF 2020
The remains of Nicole should bring rain for many of us around daybreak. It will arrive from the south and become heavy in a hurry. Some thunder, and isolated tornadoes are possible.
There will be a few lulls during the afternoon or evening, then a strong final push of heavy rain overnight, ending Saturday morning.
GFS Model 7 AM FRI to 10 AM SAT
Much heavier rain will fall inland, with less towards the coast.
Rainfall Forecast
Heavy rain Friday to early Saturday, then much colder air will follow.
This pattern may bring snow to western Maryland by Sunday and Monday.
The Big Cool Down Into Mid November: NOAA Outlook Does This For First Time
Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs
Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs
If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season. (You might be seeing a lot of commercial snow removal people out this Winter).
Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following
Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow
