Wednesday, November 9
Nicole has become the 8th hurricane of the Atlantic season. It was named by The National Hurricane Center as it made landfall on Grand Bahama Island around 6 PM. The storm has 75 mph winds and continues on a path to the west toward Florida. Landfall is still on pace north of West Palm Beach after midnight.
The Live radar widget is below to track as it approaches Florida.
This storm center is not the main focus. There is a large area that will feel the impact of storm surge north of the center along the Atlantic coast of Florida, while heavy rain and isolated tornadoes will cross the mid portion of the state. The latest warnings and rain forecast through The Mid Atlantic are all listed below.
7 PM EST Tuesday
LOCATION...26.6N 78.5W
ABOUT 20 MI…30 KM ENE OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
ABOUT 100 MI…160 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…980 MB…28.94 INCHES
Pinch to zoom in or pan the view. Looping controls at the bottom.
10 PM WED to 7 AM FRI
A few notes:
Once inland, it will be downgraded back to a tropical storm and eventually a depression. That means the winds will weaken and the circulation will fall apart.
It will spread rain well ahead of the center, perhaps enough for flooding to be a concern.
Gusty winds and isolated tornadoes are possible.
The rain will be around for about 24 hours or less, so the weekend will NOT be a washout.
* The Abacos, Berry Islands, and Grand Bahama Island in the northwestern Bahamas
* Boca Raton to Flagler/Volusia County Line Florida
* Bimini in the northwestern Bahamas
* Hallandale Beach Florida to Boca Raton Florida
* Flagler/Volusia County Line Florida to South Santee River South Carolina
* North of Bonita Beach to Indian Pass Florida
* Lake Okeechobee
* Hallandale Beach to Boca Raton Florida
* Lake Okeechobee
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* North Palm Beach Florida to Altamaha Sound Georgia
* Mouth of the St. Johns River to Georgetown Florida
* Anclote River Florida to Ochlockonee River Florida
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* Ochlockonee River to Indian Pass Florida
* South of North Palm Beach to Hallandale Beach Florida
* Altamaha Sound Georgia to South Santee River South Carolina
The track up the mountains will be well west of the cities. The heaviest rain will be inland. While there may be a break or lull in the evening, a second push of heavy rain will fall overnight.
This should end quickly Saturday morning.
The rain will arrive during Friday morning and may be heavy at times, then a lull for the cities and around the Bay. The second round of heavy rain and possible severe storms may coincide with the core Low passing by overnight.
GFS Model – this has lowered the metro rain totals, but still has a large region in the 1 to over 2-inch range.
European ECMWF Model
This has been consistent with the coverage of the 1 to 2+ inch region.
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