Rain And Storm Timeline Thursday October 13
Wednesday Evening Update
A strong cold front is moving through the nation and will reach the east coast Thursday evening. We expect rain by morning and strong storms in the afternoon and evening across Maryland and The Mid Atlantic. A small chance some of those storms may turn severe. This may include dangerous lightning, damaging winds, small hail, and a low risk for an isolated tornado.
Below is a quick look at the set up and simulation timeline for Thursday.
Let’s back up a moment: This system has erupted several severe storm outbreaks across the central US and Upper Midwest with Wisconsin front and center. This video was captured in the Big Bend/Vernon areas.
Non-Tornado Squall Video
Avoided the tornado but had some pretty decent winds in Big Bend / Vernon. #WIwx #tornados #severewx pic.twitter.com/Ox2CsIQQZS
— Steve Zautke (@SteveZautke) October 12, 2022
Wednesday Evening Surface Weather
The cold front stretches through Detroit, Cincinnati, and Memphis. Strong storms were still active in the mountains of Tennessee and Kentucky. It will be that energy ahead of the front on Thursday that we are concerned with in the Mid Atlantic.
Radar Simulation Thursday
NAM 3 Km Model: 6 AM to 10 PM
A squall line will develop in the afternoon… This where the severe storm risk lies.
Timeline Slider —-> 2 PM to 9 PM
Tracking the Squall Line. This product has routinely been an hour or two slow. So we my adjust the expectation in the morning report.
This squall line may contain the risk for severe storm cells.
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