May 16 2022
Monday Morning Report
The atmosphere is ripe for severe storms to develop today. The air feels humid, and places with thick fog will get breaks of sun to fuel storms erupting mid day through the afternoon. The prime time will be Noon to 6 PM, crossing many metro areas.
The Enhanced Risk is Level 3 of 5, and a rare status for us, so lease take this seriously. Storms may contain damaging winds, large hail, and isolated tornados. See the local look and radar simulation timeline below.
Watch Vs. Warning
Should an Alert be issued for Severe Storms, Tornadoes, or Flooding, please remember this:
A WATCH means it ‘might’ happen. This is often issued first for a large area.
A WARNING means it is ‘HAPPENING NOW’! This is short term with a county and towns listed in the path.
Morning Set UP
Surface Weather
Local Look
Temperatures
Severe Storm Risk: Potential For
- Winds Over 58 mph
- Hail OVER 1 inch diameter
- Isolated Tornadoes
- Any storm may contain dangerous lightning and Flash Flooding as well
Radar Simulation Timeline —>
HRRR Model Noon to 8 PM
Simulation Animation
Afternoon Temperatures
CLIMATE DATA
TODAY May 16th
Normal Low in Baltimore: 52ºF
Record 37ºF in 2016
Normal High in Baltimore: 74ºF
Record 92ºF 1998
Tuesday: We will clear out…
Temperatures
Morning
Afternoon
Forecast Animation: Wednesday Through Sunday
Mostly afternoon and evening showers/storms
7 Day Forecast
SUMMER HEAT BY NEXT WEEKND
The pattern will let the heat build later this week, with 90s next weekend. With the return of heat and humidity, there will be a chance for late day showers and storms almost daily.
Tropical Season Begins June 1
Related Posts
NOAA Study: Reducing Air Pollution INCREASED Tropical Storms
Atlantic Tropical History: Maps of Origin Regions Every 10 Days
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*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:
I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell. I didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse.
All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline.
I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…
It’s part of my charm.