January 31 Cold Start Then Warming Up This Week With Rain

Monday January 31- Morning Report

We will close out the month on a cold and quiet note. There will be a little warm up this week, but the trade off is that it will come with rain. 

There has been a lot of chatter about that ending with and arctic front and transition back to snow.   Once again, I think that long range outlook might have been initiated with more expectation that reality. More on that below. 

Morning Low Temperatures 

I’ve highlighted a pocket of teens this morning across lower Delaware and Maryland. With snowpack over 10 inches, temps are down into the teens. This matches southern Pennsylvania and spots in the mountains.

Overall the region is in the 20s but the winds are light so it is tolerable.

Morning Set Up

High Pressure is in control, however we will see plenty of clouds today. 

The pattern will be shifting this week, The next storm track will be well west, allowing a surge of mild temp for a couple of days.

Afternoon Temperatures 

Weather Almanac: Climate Data at BWI

TODAY January 31

Seasonal Snow: 13.3”;

+4.7″ ABOVE AVERAGE

Normal Low in Baltimore:  25ºF

Record 4ºF in 1966

Normal High in Baltimore: 42ºF

Record 69ºF 1947

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Also See: Top Snow Photos

Tuesday Temperatures

Morning

Afternoon 

Jet Stream Vorticity Animation

7 AM Monday  to 7 AM Saturday 

The trend aloft will be milder… This will allow temps to reach the 50s for us, as the next storm tracks to our west.

Colder air will follow that storm for us on Friday and Saturday.

Storm Track

7 AM Thursday to 7 AM Saturday 

7 Day Forecast

Based on Baltimore at BWI

Rain arrives Wednesday night into Thursday, with temps into the 50s.  Arctic air is expected to follow the storm Friday. This may end with a windy mix. It is too early to speculate if this will be a travel impact… 

*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:

I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell.  I didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. 

I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. 

All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. 

I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…

It’s part of my charm.

#FITF