Monday September 9, 2024
That was quick. Just a few days ago, there was minimal activity to monitor in the tropics. Then, over the weekend, this disturbance got more organized in the Western Gulf of Mexico. This morning, Tropical Storm Francine was named and already has winds of 50 mph.
This storm has the warm water and light upper-level winds to support rapid development. However, it does not have much room to work with. There is indication that it will quickly become a hurricane when winds exceed 74 mph late Tuesday. Then, it will run out of room and reach the US coastline along Louisiana on Wednesday evening.
It will be west of New Orleans near Lake Charles, but the region has high flooding potential.
Below is a look at the latest satellite loop, forecast maps, and interactive Windy widget.
Recap Of The 2024 Atlantic Tropical Season So Far:
Named Storms
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…23.0N 94.9W
ABOUT 245 MI…395 KM SE OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
ABOUT 480 MI…770 KM SSW OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 MPH…7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1002 MB…29.59 INCHES
Tropical Storm Force winds extend 160 miles away from the center.
It is a large system and will bring heavy rain and potential flooding to Texas and Louisiana on Tuesday and Wednesday. It will move inland to the North and quickly weaken.
This is tight!!!! These members are in pretty good agreement.
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A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* High Island Texas to the Mississippi/Alabama Border
* Vermilion Bay
* Lake Maurepas
* Lake Pontchartrain
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* The Louisiana coast from Cameron eastward to Grand Isle
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Barra del Tordo to the Mouth of the Rio Grande
* Mouth of the Rio Grande to Port Mansfield
* East of High Island Texas to Cameron Louisiana
* East of Grand Isle to Mouth of the Pearl River
* Lake Pontchartrain
* Lake Maurepas
Note this only goes out 5 Days and may not include the inland impact before dissipating completely.
If You Missed It
Click here to see: NOAA Released Its Most Aggressive Hurricane Season Forecast
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I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF
