Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 10/11/2024 05:50:03 am
Temperature

37°

Clear

37°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

100%

Feels Like

35°

Wind (WSW)

3mph

Air Pressure

30.17

Sun
Sun Rise

07:13 AM

Sun Set

06:33 PM

Day Length

11:20 Hours

Difference

2 min 29 sec loss

Moon
Moon Rise

03:31 PM

Moon Set

07:00 PM

Next: Full Moon

Oct 17,2024

Moon Phase

First Quarter

Climate
Average Low

47°

68°

Average High
Record Low

27°


(1964)

89°


(1954)
Record High
Conditions

Tropical Storm Francine Named And May Hit US Gulf Coast As A Hurricane

NOAA
National Hurricane Center
Forecast
Tropics
Warnings

Monday September 9, 2024

That was quick. Just a few days ago, there was minimal activity to monitor in the tropics. Then, over the weekend, this disturbance got more organized in the Western Gulf of Mexico. This morning, Tropical Storm Francine was named and already has winds of 50 mph.

This storm has the warm water and light upper-level winds to support rapid development. However, it does not have much room to work with. There is indication that it will quickly become a hurricane when winds exceed 74 mph late Tuesday. Then, it will run out of room and reach the US coastline along Louisiana on Wednesday evening.

It will be west of New Orleans near Lake Charles, but the region has high flooding potential.

Below is a look at the latest satellite loop, forecast maps, and interactive Windy widget.

Recap Of The 2024 Atlantic Tropical Season So Far:

Named Storms

  1. Alberto June 19 to 20; Peaked As Tropical Storm
  2. Beryl June 28  11; Peaked As Cat 5 Hurricane
  3. Chris June 30 to July 1; Peaked As Tropical Storm
  4. Debby August 3 to 9; Peaked as a Category 1 Hurricane
  5. Ernesto August 12 to 20; Peaked As Cat 2 Hurricane

Monday Mid-Day Snapshot

September 9 Tropical Storm Francine satellite loop

National Weather Service Report

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION

———————————————–

LOCATION…23.0N 94.9W

ABOUT 245 MI…395 KM SE OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE

ABOUT 480 MI…770 KM SSW OF CAMERON LOUISIANA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 MPH…7 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1002 MB…29.59 INCHES

Satellite Loop

September 9 Tropical Storm Francine satellite loop

 

Notes:

Tropical Storm Force winds extend 160 miles away from the center.

It is a large system and will bring heavy rain and potential flooding to Texas and Louisiana on Tuesday and Wednesday. It will move inland to the North and quickly weaken.

Computer Model Forecasts

Windy INTERACTIVE Forecast Widget

 

 

Global and Tropical Model Plots: 

This is tight!!!! These members are in pretty good agreement.

September 9 Tropical Storm Francine computer model forecast map

Model Suggested Forecast Intensity

September 9 Tropical Storm Francine computer model forecast intensity

 

 

National Hurricane Center Forecast

Local Track Suggestions and Watches

September 9 Tropical Storm Francine Forecast Map close NHC

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…

* High Island Texas to the Mississippi/Alabama Border

* Vermilion Bay

* Lake Maurepas

* Lake Pontchartrain

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…

* The Louisiana coast from Cameron eastward to Grand Isle

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…

* Barra del Tordo to the Mouth of the Rio Grande

* Mouth of the Rio Grande to Port Mansfield

* East of High Island Texas to Cameron Louisiana

* East of Grand Isle to Mouth of the Pearl River

* Lake Pontchartrain

* Lake Maurepas

 

Wide View Maps

Suggested Storm Track/Cone

September 9 Tropical Storm Francine Forecast Map National Hurricane Center

 

Suggested Arrival of Winds OVER 39 mph

September 9 Tropical Storm Francine Wind Forecast Map National Hurricane Center

 

NOAA Rainfall Outlook:

Note this only goes out 5 Days and may not include the inland impact before dissipating completely.

September 9 Tropical Storm Francine Rainfall Forecast Map National Hurricane Center

 

If You Missed It

Click here to see: NOAA Released Its Most Aggressive Hurricane Season Forecast

THANK YOU:

Baltimore Magazine Readers Choice Best Of Baltimore

 

Maryland Trek 11 Day 7 Completed Sat August 10

We raised OVER $104,000 for Just In Power Kids – AND Still Collecting More

The annual event: Hiking and biking 329 miles in 7 days between The Summit of Wisp to Ocean City.

Each day, we honor a kid and their family’s cancer journey.

Fundraising is for Just In Power Kids: Funding Free Holistic Programs. I never have and never will take a penny. It is all for our nonprofit to operate.

Click here or the image to donate:

 

Four Supermoons In A Row

See more about the 4 Supermoons Through November here:

4 Supermoons Of 2024

 

Please share your thoughts and best weather pics/videos, or just keep in touch via social media.

 

RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.

One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF