January 18 Windy Today Rain Tomorrow Then A Little More Wintry
January 18 2023
Wednesday Morning Report
A bit of rain passed through overnight, adding to the moisture and some pockets of fog. The thicker fog appears to be around I-95, north and south of Baltimore.
Gusty winds today will keep us mild, but a cooler trend is on the way. That will start with rain tomorrow, then we watch a little more wintry ‘stuff’ mixing in with the next two follow up events.
Headlines
- Today: Patchy Early Fog, Gusty Winds Develop
- Thursday: Rainy, Heavy In The Evening
- Next Two Storms: Tracking South, Snow A Little Closer
Morning Temperatures
No part of the region is below freezing this morning.
Morning Surface Weather
Patchy fog around I-95 this morning. Gusty winds will be building in and helping to dry us out today.
The snow moving out of the Colorado Rockies will track into the north central plains then the Great Lakes. Another round of severe storms in the south as that will be our rain maker tomorrow.
3 PM Temperatures
Mild but gusty winds.
Wind Forecast: 7 AM to 7 PM
Winds will increase from the Northwest between 10 to 20 mph, with gusts up to 30 mph.
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CLIMATE DATA
TODAY January 18
Normal Low in Baltimore: 26ºF
Record -4ºF in 1957
SNOW: 4.6” 1984
Normal High in Baltimore: 43ºF
Record 68ºF 1990
Thursday
Radar Simulation:
HRRR Model 4 AM to 8 PM
Snapshot Thursday Evening
The heaviest rain will arrive with the back edge of this system. There may be some pockets of lightning and thunder.
Morning Temperatures
Afternoon Temperatures
Storm Simulation
ECMWF Model 7 PM THU to 7 AM MON
The European Model has been steady in the transition with a shift of storm track. We are missing arctic air, but the southern push of storms will allow for a little more wintry weather closer to home.
This is a signal of a change as the atmosphere is trying.
Snapshot: Sunday Evening
This looks like it will start with some wintry mix, especially inland. At this point it looks like the warm ground and marginal temps will not support stickage. Just local roads will be wet.
Snapshot: Next Tuesday
The next storm system will have colder air and perhaps a little more snow at the start. Just keeping this on the docket in our look at the week ahead.
7 Day Forecast
Temperatures drop to near seasonal levels. The pattern change is the storm track. No true arctic air, yet… But we see a change in the storm track to introduce some wintry mix. That will be more likely west and north of Baltimore.
Faith in the Flakes Gear
What is Faith in the Flakes?
It began with my son in 2009
December 5th Snow In Baltimore And The Start Of Faith In The Flakes FITF
SNOWSTIX – Available Now
STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back
Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school
My Winter Outlook: Not A Typical La Niña!
I see many factors to support colder influence with multiple systems. Early and later in winter. Check it out.
Winter Outlook 2023 For Snow Not Typical La Niña Plus Polar Vortex Disruption
Also See The Winter Outlook Series:
Atmospheric Memory Suggests Active Winter Storm Pattern Outlook
Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs
Farmer’s Almanac Comparison
Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs
Triple Dip La Niña Winter
CONNECTION TO WINTER?
If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season. (You might be seeing a lot of commercial snow removal people out this Winter).
Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following
Wooly Bear Caterpillars
Persimmon Seeds
Click to see Top 20 and MORE
Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow
Normals And Records: Maryland and Baltimore Climate History
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