October 19 2022

Wednesday Morning Update 

The core of the cold air will be with us today and tomorrow. You may notice that temperatures did not drop as cold as expected, meaning the Freeze Warning was premature. That is because of added cloud cover, which in fact may result in a flurry or sprinkle inland.

The snow machine has not fully turned on yet in western Maryland. They have had flurries, but we will watch today for any snow. I’ve included a live web cam at Deep Creek Lake plus Radar below so we can view it here.

Colder air will still stream in through tomorrow, so we may have another round of Freeze Warnings for the same inland areas.

This weekend, a warm up for Saturday, but the European Model is trying to pull in a coastal storm Sunday… We need to consider that for a wet chance. 

Morning Surface Weather

The clouds we have building inland are part of this larger circulation. The Great Lakes Low is spinning north of Toronto and helping to bring down more cold air… The next ‘spoke’ will pivot through Maryland today. This will kick off flurries and snow showers for Garrett County today and then allow more substantial snow there through tomorrow.

Satellite Loop 4 AM to 6 AM

Additional clouds have been developing in the mountains and spilling east. This is the result of that upper level energy (vorticity) I’ve shown in prior reports.

Morning Temperatures

Temps are down to Freezing (30ºF) in McHenry and much of the high mountains. While we have areas in the 30s, our Freeze Warning area oddly has warmer temps. This is due to the cloud cover that inhibited the cooling.

Western Maryland Snow?

As of this predawn report, I have not seen much on radar. It doesn’t always show up well.  We can expect snow showers to develop today. If steady snow does develop, it is cold enough for some early day stickage.

Live Web Cam: Wisp/Deep Creek Lake

This webcam is positioned at The Greene Turtle Deep Creek Lake and shows Wisp Resort, including a zoomed-in view of Squirrel Cage, The Face, the terrain park, Boulder, the mountain coaster, the tubing park and a shot of McHenry Cove at Deep Creek Lake!

Live Radar Widget

This is NOT a winter mode display. So rain or snow will look the same.  Also, light precipitation in the mountains can be under-reported/shown.

Radar Simulation 6 AM to 4 PM

Blue = snow in western Maryland. Here we see is lasting most of the day.  That band of snow I showed yesterday is not presented here, however we may still see light showers pop up across the inland suburbs of central Maryland and southern PA.

Afternoon Temperatures 

Wind Animation 6 AM to 8 PM

Brisk winds will average between 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts. This will make for a blustery day.

CLIMATE DATA

TODAY October 19

Normal Low in Baltimore:  45ºF

Record 29ºF in 2015

Normal High in Baltimore: 67ºF

Record 87ºF 2016

Thursday Temperatures 

Morning

We may have another round of Freeze Warnings and Frost Advisories issued.

EXPLORE MORE: WHEN IS THE FIRST FROST?

Average Frost And Freeze Dates in Maryland and Pennsylvania

Afternoon

Weekend Outlook

A warm start on Saturday will bring us sunshine and temps for many near 70ºF. Here we see the European Model trying to form a coastal Low and pull it inland with rain on Sunday. 

The GFS is less robust, but trying to catch up. So we must add this risk into the extended outlook.

7 Day Forecast

STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back

Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school

Faith in the Flakes Gear

ALSO SEE: Farmer’s Almanac Comparison

Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs

Winter Outlook 2023 La Niña Triple Dip Expectations

CONNECTION TO WINTER?

If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season.

Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following

Normals And Records: Maryland and Baltimore Climate History

Winter Weather Folklore Checklist

SNOWSTIX – Available Now