January 16 MLK Day Turning Mild Then More Rain This Week
January 16 2023
Monday Morning Report
This holiday will provide the opportunity to be comfortable outside. After a chilly start, temperatures will modify under sunshine and light winds. The week ahead is still lacking winter. We have mild temps with rain showers tomorrow and steady rain likely on Thursday. Then we see a signal of some change.
Today is also a happy 17th Birthday to my oldest son. He is the co-founder of #FITF and Kid Weather App (currently down for maintenance). Every few years he shares “his day” with this great leader. There is so much goodness to his soul beyond the fun weather stuff I’ve been able to share with you, he invokes that unifying spirit among his circles.
Headlines
- Chilly Start, Mild Finish
- Showers Tuesday, Rain Thursday
- Signal of Pattern Change Ending The Weekend
Morning Surface Weather
The coastal storm is still producing snow from Boston up through Eastern Maine. The next system is rolling through the Mid-West following the similar storm track pumping in mild air ahead of it, for us to get just rain.
Morning Temperatures
A chilly start to MLK Day, but it will turn mild with sunshine and light winds.
3 PM Temperatures
Snow Show
Just for fun, I wanted to show the snow cam at Deep Creek Lake.
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Sign up and be the first to know!CLIMATE DATA
TODAY January 16
Normal Low in Baltimore: 26ºF
Record 1ºF in 1893
SNOW: 7.0” 1945
Normal High in Baltimore: 43ºF
Record 71ºF 1953
Tuesday Weather
Radar Simulation
NAM 3 Km 7AM to 7 PM
Rain in western Maryland to start the day, with showers midday falling apart across metro areas. Light showers may continue through the evening.
Local Temperatures
Morning
Afternoon
Next Storm Thursday
ECMWF Model 7 AM THU to 7 AM FRI
Watching Low Pressure track again through the Great Lakes. This will pump in warm air and rain across the Eastern US… similar to the prior storm tracks.
Looking Ahead With The Jet Stream
The next signal of flipping the switch and bringing in a colder more winter-like pattern shows up this weekend. The last frame is 7 PM Sunday. Note, that is January 22. The pattern change I have been suggesting is next week. I will explore that in my next report.
7 Day Forecast
The bigger rain event will be on Thursday. Most of this week will be mild, then cooling back to seasonal levels this weekend.
Faith in the Flakes Gear
What is Faith in the Flakes?
It began with my son in 2009
December 5th Snow In Baltimore And The Start Of Faith In The Flakes FITF
SNOWSTIX – Available Now
STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back
Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school
My Winter Outlook: Not A Typical La Niña!
I see many factors to support colder influence with multiple systems. Early and later in winter. Check it out.
Winter Outlook 2023 For Snow Not Typical La Niña Plus Polar Vortex Disruption
Also See The Winter Outlook Series:
Atmospheric Memory Suggests Active Winter Storm Pattern Outlook
Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs
Farmer’s Almanac Comparison
Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs
Triple Dip La Niña Winter
CONNECTION TO WINTER?
If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season. (You might be seeing a lot of commercial snow removal people out this Winter).
Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following
Wooly Bear Caterpillars
Persimmon Seeds
Click to see Top 20 and MORE
Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow
Normals And Records: Maryland and Baltimore Climate History
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