January 14 2023

Saturday Morning Report

The big story this weekend is the return of winter, sort of. This is NOT the big pattern change, but a reminder of the season with cold winds, wind chills, and snow showers. The higher mountain ski areas are in great shape, and we have a live cam from Deep Creek Lake below.

A new storm will be forming off the coast, which will reinforce the winds and bring eastern New England a snow event this weekend. 

Headlines

• Gusty Winds
• Wind Chill
• Mountain Snow
• Nicer for MLK Day

Climate Trivia

The hottest January temperature in Baltimore history was on this date:

79ºF in 1932

Morning Surface Weather 

Strong winds from the north will reinforce the cold air as much of our region will struggle to move through the 30s today. Wind chills will feel up to 10 degrees colder all day.

Snow showers have been moving through the mountains, and even along I-81 overnight.

Radar This Morning

Snapshot at 3:30 AM

I am showing this first because I want to highlight the movement of the showers and flurries in the loop below.

We can see the upper air circulation in Virginia that is responsible for the east coast cold spell. 

Radar Simulation 

3:30 AM to 11 AM

Snow bursts remain in the mountains, while some snow showers have tracked southward around and west of I-81.

Now as of post time, there was cluster of light snow around Culpeper, VA moving to the south.

Live Snow Cam: Deep Creek Lake And Wisp Ski Resort

Morning Temperatures 

Wind chills are already about 10 to 15 degrees colder than these readings.

3 PM Temperatures 

3 PM Wind Chill

This is more realistic for how to dress for outside.

Wind Forecast: Saturday Morning To Sunday Evening

North Winds will average 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph+.

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CLIMATE DATA

TODAY January 14

Normal Low in Baltimore:  26ºF

Record -2ºF in 1912

SNOW: 6.4” 1910

Normal High in Baltimore: 43ºF

Record 79ºF 1932

Sunday Temperatures 

Morning

Closer to seasonal levels.

Afternoon

A little milder but still brisk winds and chilly.

New Coastal Storm

ECMWF Model 7 AM SAT to 7 AM MON

Watching Low Pressure form off the coast, which will throw back snow and ice to eastern New England.

This storm will only maintain our cold winds, but deepening into the Atlantic, it will help to build a blocking pattern to shift the jet stream to a cooler pattern for us later next week. 

Snapshot Sunday

We are going to hear about snow for Cape Cod and Boston… It will be from this storm and it will help keep the north winds brisk for us in the Mid Atlantic.

7 Day Forecast

The delay of our colder pattern will be another week, as discussed in many reports this past week.  

The next two storms are likely to bring us rain.

Faith in the Flakes Gear

What is Faith in the Flakes?

It began with my son in 2009

December 5th Snow In Baltimore And The Start Of Faith In The Flakes FITF

SNOWSTIX – Available Now

STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back

Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school

My Winter Outlook: Not A Typical La Niña!

I see many factors to support colder influence with multiple systems. Early and later in winter. Check it out.

Winter Outlook 2023 For Snow Not Typical La Niña Plus Polar Vortex Disruption

Also See The Winter Outlook Series:

Atmospheric Memory Suggests Active Winter Storm Pattern Outlook

Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs

Farmer’s Almanac Comparison

Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs

Triple Dip La Niña Winter

Winter Outlook 2023 La Niña Triple Dip Expectations

CONNECTION TO WINTER?

If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season. (You might be seeing a lot of commercial snow removal people out this Winter).

Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following

Wooly Bear Caterpillars

Winter Weather Outlook From The Wooly Bear Caterpillar

Persimmon Seeds

Winter Weather Outlook: Persimmon Seeds And Snow Folklore

Click to see Top 20 and MORE

Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow

Normals And Records: Maryland and Baltimore Climate History

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