October 14 Morning Fog Then Summer Like Afternoon

Thursday October 14

Today is the day we expect to be in our mini-later summer weather.  But first we must have to deal with fog.  While it is more widespread than yesterday, we should have more support to burn it off before noon and get into that sun.

Dense Fog Advisory

Morning Surface Weather

High Pressure has been in control, but we had this low level moisture trapped underneath. Today a light westerly wind should help dry us out with daytime mixing of the air. 

That cold front in the MidWest will ignite strong to severe storms. This is the system we expect on Saturday.

Morning Temperatures 

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*This is the first phase. Much more expanded weather info will be added soon.

Too Many Cloudy Days

Yes, it’s been about one week of persistent cloud cover. Even NWS has been tracking this. Check out the daily satellite images

Feel like you haven’t been seeing much sunshine recently? Well, here’s a look at the afternoon visible satellite imagery the past 6 days. Clouds have been plentiful with the continued northeasterly onshore flow. Any peeks of sun have been somewhat brief. #MDwx #VAwx #DCwx #WVwx pic.twitter.com/modTd5PWVl

— NWS Baltimore-Washington (@NWS_BaltWash) October 12, 2021

Afternoon Temperatures

Note: Our local Offical recording station at BWI tends to be warmer than models and surroundings. 

Weather Almanac: Climate Data

TODAY October 14

Normal Low in Baltimore:  46ºF

Record 29ºF in 1988

Normal High in Baltimore: 67ºF

Record 86º F 1975

Also See:

Sweating Weather To Sweater Weather

Temperatures Saturday

Morning

Afternoon

Weekend Change

As of now, the timing of the Cold Front should be during the afternoon. Here are snapshots at 2 PM from the High Resolution NAM 3 Km Model.

It will start warm and end cool. If you have outdoor plans, the timing will be subject to your location and the speed of this front.  Expect storms mid day to afternoon. Earlier in the western mountains, later on Delmarva)

Temp Transition…

Storm Line…

This plot is NOT perfect!  I expect there will be more activity than shown for now.  Plan for the potential for storm to turn severe. These may contain damming wind and large hail.  I will expand more on this in my evening report.

Saturday Rain Animation

8 AM to 10 PM – ECMWF Model

7 Day Forecast