Current Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 10/19/2021 02:10:02 am
Temperature

46°

Clear

40°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

79%

Feels Like

44°

Wind (W)

5mph

Air Pressure

30.08

Sun
Sun Rise

07:20 AM

Sun Set

06:22 PM

Day Length

11:02 Hours

Difference

2 min 26 sec loss

Moon
Moon Rise

06:14 PM

Moon Set

06:10 AM

Next: Full Moon

Oct 20,2021

Moon Phase

Waxing Gibbous

Climate
Average Low

44°

66°

Average High
Record Low

29°


(2015)

87°


(2016)
Record High
Current Conditions

Wind Forecast Wednesday With Remains Of Ida

Severe Weather

Tuesday Afternoon August 31

Ida is a Post Tropical Cyclone. It is no longer a hurricane or tropical storm. The core Low we refer to as the remnant Low or Ghost of Ida is now entering Tennessee. Tracking this is complicated by a stalled frontal boundary in our region.

Below you can see the afternoon satellite loop, Live Radar Widget, and wind forecast maps.


Surface Weather

The interaction with that front will help determine the path, but also the wind flow. 

There will be gusty winds, and pockets of storms will high higher gusts and severe components (gusts to 60 mph or tornados). 

 

 

Satellite Loop: True Color

The broad circulation is still evident at cloud level, as seen this afternoon. 

 

ida-satellite-loop-tuesday-afternoon

 

Live Radar Widget

 

 

Wind Forecast Wednesday 

The models are still trying to pin down the path of the surface Low, which may get disconnected from the wind field aloft.

Winds may not be noticeable until the afternoon. Then they will increase through the evening and at night with the passage of the core Low.

The Southeast Wind expected to build across the Chesapeake Bay in the afternoon. That should help feed into the risk for severe storm development.

 

Severe Storm Risk

 

 

Wind Animation: 8 AM Wed to 8 AM Thu

 

ida-wind-forecast-wednesday-ecmwf

Wind Gusts?

This is where we see a wide range form the two top performing models. The American GFS Model is reasonable, while the European Model is on the high extreme. This may be including severe storm expectation.

See the difference:

 

GFS Model Max Wind Gust Forecast

 

A safe bet most of our region gets 30 mph winds.

 

ECWMF Model Max Wind Gust Forecast

This seems a bit extreme and I have my doubts.

But this may include individual storm cells with severe components.

 

Main Notes:

  • Flash Flooding is expected
  • Rainfall may be widespread over 2 inches. Some areas may receive over 4 inches, especially west and north of Baltimore.
  • Higher rainfall north and west of the Low AND with severe storms cells.
  • Watches may be issued for Severe Storms or Tornados. That will be for ‘potential’. A ‘WARNING’ will be only when it is spotted and plotted through a town.

 

See More In My Prior Report:

What to Expect From Ida on Wednesday 

 

 



 

INTERACTIVE WEATHER PAGES

14 Local Maryland Pages (and York PA)

We have made a page for Maryland Weather which gives you the current conditions for 14 present area locations.

Local Hourly Forecasts and Local Radar
Central Maryland

Baltimore

Annapolis

Bel Air

Carroll County/Westminster

Delmarva

Easton

Salisbury

Ocean City

Dover DE

Southern Maryland

Patuxent River 

Washington DC

 

Pennsylvania

York

 

 

Maryland Trek Gear

Maryland_trek_Gear

 

Maryland Trek 8 Says THANK YOU!

Running Total Raised $116,438

During 329 Miles From Wisp To Ocean City

To Honor Kids In Cancer Treatment and Support FREE Programs At Just In Power Kids

 

MDTrek8 Logo web

 

 

National Weather Service Adds Maryland Cecil And Garrett Counties



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