Current Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 10/25/2021 04:30:03 am
Temperature

59°

Mostly Cloudy

56°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

90%

Feels Like

59°

Wind (N)

0mph

Air Pressure

29.98

Sun
Sun Rise

07:27 AM

Sun Set

06:14 PM

Day Length

10:47 Hours

Difference

2 min 22 sec loss

Moon
Moon Rise

09:25 PM

Moon Set

12:10 PM

Next: Last Quarter

Oct 28,2021

Moon Phase

Waning Gibbous

Climate
Average Low

42°

64°

Average High
Record Low

28°


(1962)

77°


(1931)
Record High
Current Conditions

Elsa Has Become First Hurricane Of The Season

Tropics

Friday July 2 2021

Elsa just formed as a tropical storm yesterday and has been in a hurry. The forward speed has been on a tear at 28 mph to the west. Now the sustained winds are up to 75 mph according to Air Force Reconnaissance.

Interests for this storm include the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, and Florida. Then there is potential for this to impact the Eastern US and Mid Atlantic through Thursday.

Satellite Image

 

 

Large Storm

Hurricane Force Winds extend 25 miles from the center.

Tropical Storm Force Winds reach 140 miles away.

This morning Barbados recorded 74 mph sustained wind with a gust to 86 mph

 

Satellite Loop

 

Hurricane_Elsa_satellite_loop_July_2

 

National Hurricane Center Update

 

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.4N 61.2W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM N OF ST. VINCENT
ABOUT 675 MI...1090 KM ESE OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES

Long Range Track

  • Today: Windward and Leeward Islands
  • Saturday: Eastern Caribbean
  • Sunday: Near Jamaica and Cuba
  • Next Tuesday: Near Florida

 

Outlook may bring the center or some impact to Mid Atlantic By Thursday. See the forecast animation below.

 

 

 

Closer Look At The Forecast Track

This Weekend

 

 

Next Week/Florida Landfall

 

 

Outlook: Mid Atlantic Impact?

This is the GFS Model forecast from early this morning, and it shows a path through Ocean City Thursday night.

I DO NOT BUY THIS!!!

This was prior to Elsa becoming a hurricane AND has the position WEST of Florida, instead of the landfall NHC shows up central Florida. Also, the fast forward speed plays a role now in where it will be and what other systems it can interactive with 5 days away.

That is more important for where it may end up by next Thursday. But we need to watch it closely.

 

 

Hurricane_Elsa_GFS_ Forecast_USA_July_2

 

Wind (40+) Arrival Time

 

 

 

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…

  • Barbados
  • St. Lucia
  • St. Vincent and the Grenadines

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

  •  Martinique
  •  The southern coast of Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to the border with Haiti
  • Entire coast of Haiti

 

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…

  • Southern portion of Haiti from Port Au Prince to the southern border with the Dominican Republic
  • A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
  •  Grenada and its dependencies
  • Saba and Sint Eustatius
  • Jamaica
  • Dominica

 

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected

somewhere within the warning area, in this case in the next few

hours.  Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed

to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are

expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible

within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours

before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force

winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or

dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are

possible within the watch area.

within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours

before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force

winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or

dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are

possible within the watch area.

Interests elsewhere in the Windward Islands, Leeward Islands, the

Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, and Cuba

should monitor the progress of Elsa. Additional watches and

warnings will likely be required later today.

 

In Case You Missed It

July 1 Storm Video, Photos, Radar, and Damage Map

Shelf_Cloud_July_1_weather_Maryland_Parole_Annapolis

 

 

 

Sunshine State Of Mind

 

Embracing my wife’s mantra of Sunshine State of Mind.

This was designed by Shannon Berk and we will be wearing it through spring and to the beach.

Double Benefit: Proceeds will be split between our nonprofit Just In Power Kids and the development of my new weather website. That has been scheduled to be ready to launch in May.

 

 

YOUR INTERACTIVE WEATHER PAGES

14 Local Maryland Pages (and York PA)

We have made a page for Maryland Weather which gives you the current conditions for 14 present area locations.

Local Hourly Forecasts and Local Radar
Central Maryland

Baltimore

Annapolis

Bel Air

Carroll County/Westminster

Delmarva

Easton

Salisbury

Ocean City

Dover DE

Southern Maryland

Patuxent River 

Washington DC

 

Pennsylvania

York

 

 

 

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