December 24 Christmas Eve Early Morning Light Icy Mix
December 24, 2024 Monday Morning Report The result of a few very cold nights will allow this light precipitation to stick. It will only last a couple of hours AND…
Tropical Storm Rafael Named In The Caribbean Expected To Become A Hurricane And Approach US Gulf Coast This Weekend
National Hurricane Center
Tropics
Monday, November 4, 2024
Hurricane season in the Atlantic lasts until November 30 and it looks like this season is going to try and squeeze the most out of it. Tropical Storm Rafael was named in the Caribbean today with 45 mph winds. It is the 16th named storm of the season and possibly the 8th to enter the Gulf of Mexico.
It is located in the Western Caribbean and is expected to become a hurricane. Warnings have been issued for the Cayman Islands, Jamaica, and Cuba.
The long-range track puts it into the Gulf of Mexico this weekend, and computer model plots have landfall close to New Orleans. But it is still too early to lock down.
Tropical Satellite
National Hurricane Center SUMMARY OF 4 PM EST
- LOCATION…15.5N 76.7W
- ABOUT 175 MI…280 KM S OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
- ABOUT 395 MI…635 KM SE OF GRAND CAYMAN
- MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
- PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
- MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…997 MB…29.44 INCHES
Tropical IR Satellite Loop
Computer Model Forecast Tracks
Computer Model Forecast Intensity
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Cayman Islands
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Cuban provinces of Pinar del Rio, Artemisa, La Habana, Mayabeque, Matanzas, and the Isle of Youth
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Jamaica
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Cuban provinces of Villa Clara, Cienfuegos, Sancti Spiritus, Ciego de Avila, Camaguey, and Las Tunas
* Lower and Middle Florida Keys from Key West to west of the Channel 5 Bridge
* Dry Tortugas
National Hurricane Center Forecast Track
Interactive Windy Widget
Recap Of The 2024 Atlantic Tropical Season So Far:
Named Storms
- Alberto June 19 to 20; Peaked As Tropical Storm
- Beryl June 28 11; Peaked As Cat 5 Hurricane
- Chris June 30 to July 1; Peaked As Tropical Storm
- Debby August 3 to 9; Peaked as a Category 1 Hurricane
- Ernesto August 12 to 20; Peaked As Cat 2 Hurricane
- Francine September 9 to 12; Peaked As Cat 2 Hurricane
- Gordon September 11 to 17; Tropical Storm
- Helene September 24 t0 27; Cat 4 Hurricane. Landfall with 140 mph winds
- Joyce September 27 to 30; Tropical Storm
- Kirk September 29 to ; Cat 4 Hurricane: Ocean with 145 mph winds
- Leslie October 2 to ; Cat 1 Hurricane
- Milton October 5 to 10; Peaked at Cat 5 Winds 180 mph
- Nadine October 19 to 20; Peak 60 mph
- Oscar October 19 to 22; Cat 1 Winds 85 mph
- Patty November 2 to 4; Peak 65 mph
- Rafael November 4 to….
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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF
