June 29 Turning Up The Heat Humidity And Severe Storm Risk
Saturday June 29
Morning Report
A warm front is moving through this morning. This has produced a band of clouds with some spotty drizzle or light showers. The heat will push in this afternoon, and it will be noticeable.
We have been tracking the risk for storms, and today, they will generally be in the mountains. I expect most of the metro and beach areas will have a dry afternoon, but a stray pop-up thundershower is possible. The main line of storms may reach the inland suburbs Northwest of Baltimore. If so, that will be after sunset, towards 9 PM to midnight.
Sunday will bring heat and humidity and the expected cold front. This is when we can expect storms that may turn severe, and the timing may be afternoon through evening.
It will cool down early next week, and then there will be the next round of heat and storms on Thursday, July 4th.
NOAA Severe Storm Risk
Saturday
The focus will be in the high mountains of Western Maryland to Central Pennsylvania.
The edge has shifted to include Westminster and York. If this happens the timing would be ‘after sunset’.
Sunday
The focus will shift into central Maryland and the Beaches. This will be enhanced by high temperatures and humidity. The timing will be mid afternoon to evening AFTER 4 PM.
Morning Surface Weather
The clouds and maybe some drizzle this morning are with the warm front moving north through Maryland and Pennsylvania.
Temps will push into the 90s this afternoon.
Much of the storm energy is across the Great Lakes and moving into Ohio.
Live Radar and Lightning Widget
Afternoon Temperatures
Radar Simulations (compare)
HRRR Model 4 PM to Midnight
This brings in a strong line of storms tonight from North Central Maryland to Southern PA… but they fade after 9 PM.
Snapshots
8 PM
10 PM
NAM 3 Km Model 8 AM to Midnight
Snapshots
2 PM
4 PM
8 PM
10 PM
CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore
TODAY June 29
Sunrise at 5:44 AM
Sunset at 8:37 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 66ºF
Record 53ºF in 1974
Normal High in Baltimore: 88ºF
Record 105ºF 1934
Sunday
Another round of strong storms with a greater chance to turn severe. They will build on high heat and humidity. It may feel close to 105ºF in central and Southern MD/VA.
Morning Temperatures
Afternoon Temperatures
Radar Simulation 4 PM to Midnight
Radar Simulation Snapshot
6 PM
8 PM
10 PM
Looking Ahead: July 4th, Thursday Morning to Friday Evening
Building risk for storms with the next cold front. This will also take two days to cross the region.
7 Day Forecast
The risk for storms will increase on Sunday, then we get a cooling break to start the week.
July 4th brings on high heat again, with the risk of strong to severe storms.
If You Missed It: Click To See
5 Tornadoes Confirmed In Maryland (so far) on June 5
June 5 Storm Report (Preliminary) With Videos And Photos
Hurricane Season Outlook
Click to read: NOAA Releases Most Aggressive Outlook
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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF