Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 05/08/2024 10:20:03 pm
Temperature

71°

Mostly Cloudy

62°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

73%

Feels Like

71°

Wind (W)

8mph

Air Pressure

29.65

Sun
Sun Rise

05:59 AM

Sun Set

08:06 PM

Day Length

14:07 Hours

Difference

2 min 0 sec gain

Moon
Moon Rise

06:01 AM

Moon Set

09:15 PM

Next: First Quarter

May 15,2024

Moon Phase

New Moon

Climate
Average Low

49°

72°

Average High
Record Low

33°


(1997)

93°


(1930)
Record High
Conditions

Record Heat Around Washington While Snow Falls With Blizzard Warnings Around Los Angeles

climate data
Record Weather
Winter Weather
video
Warnings

Thursday February 23 2023

The weather is weird. Yes, that is my professional meteorological statement to lead off this report.  I truly was not sure which was more weird, getting to the 80s in February around Washington DC while snow is forecast in just less than two days, or the actual snow falling around Los Angeles with Blizzard Warnings in effect for Southern California into the weekend. I know this sounds like a scene from the movie The Day After Tomorrow, but this is not the End Times. Just weird!

February 23 record heat and Los Angeles snow

 

The two feet of snow in Minnesota and ice storm around Detroit are almost afterthoughts.

Well, I will start and finish with our local Mid Atlantic weather, but I must give more than a nod and context to the LA (County) Blizzard.  It has happened before.

 

Record Heat

I began to suggest we could get this record last week. I know this is not as glamorous as a snow forecast, and it will not erase the lack of winter events this winter, but today’s temperatures should not have been a surprise.

The shock is that for Baltimore, it broke the old mark set back in 1874. That was 149 years ago.

Baltimore reached 79ºF. However, the all time warmest day for the month was 83ºF on February 25, 1930. So, we have had ‘more heat’ before. Just a very long time ago, but it is rare indeed.

February 23 weather high record temperatures Thursday

 

National Weather Service Statement

Washington DC did reach the 80s, breaking the mark from that same date in Baltimore.

record warm temperatures NWS Washington

 

Chesapeake Bay Breeze

Normally a new record high temperature in February would just be ‘warm’ but it was actually hot.. for some… away from the water. The Chesapeake Bay is currently 53ºF, so nearby areas were held back in the 60s.  This included Baltimore’s Inner Harbor, coastal Baltimore County, and near Annapolis.

February 23 temperatures Maryland Bay

 

 

All Time February Records In North Carolina

There are too many to mention in this report, but I wanted to share one more info-graph from NWS in Raleigh, NC.

Record Warm NWS Raleigh North Carolina

 

Friday Flip

Temps will be noticeably colder in the morning. This is the next phase that will lead to some snow on Saturday. I will get to that in a moment.

February 23 weather temperatures Friday morning

 

 

Snow In Los Angeles Today Then More On The Way

Hollywood Sign

This video captured my attention and the essence of the weather. Palm Trees and The Hollywood Sign blurred by falling snow.

The snow levels were lower than projected, but in the mountains above 3,000 Ft in elevation there was stickage!  Again, more is on the way…

 

Context: Snow From 1949

I am showing this photo of snow long ago, because it was the winter of 1949 to 1950 when Baltimore had its ONLY winter with UNDER 1 inch of snow (0.7”). Sounds similar to this season.

 

Thursday Evening Weather

A COLD STORM PATTERN is locked along the Pacific Coast.  This will send another Winter Storm into southern California Friday and Saturday.

February 23 weather storm California snow

Blizzard and Winter Storm Warnings

These include the mountains of Southern California (also surrounding Las Vegas).

February 23 blizzard warning snow storm California

 

National Weather Service San Diego Concern

A winter storm is serious for any region, but it seems the rarity here has promoted this statement from San Diego of all places!

 

Blizzard Warning San Diego

 

 

Storm Forecast Animation

ECMWF Model: Friday Morning to Sunday Morning

This is the winter storm that will slam into California on Friday.

February 23 winter storm snow California

 

Back East: Colder AND A Little Snow

Repeat: Temperatures Friday Morning

The leading edge of colder air will be here in the morning.

February 23 weather temperatures Friday morning

 

Wind Forecast: 7 AM to 7 PM

Strong winds from the Northwest will bring the reality check back in, holding temps near average into the afternoon.

february-24 wind forecast-friday

 

Wind Forecast Snapshot

While winds will average 10 to 20 mph, we will have gusts to 30 mph. After near 80ºF today, it will definitely FEEL Chilly!

February 24 wind forecast Friday

Saturday Morning Temperatures

Notice that the freeze will reach through Maryland with 20s in Baltimore to near 30ºF in Salisbury and Ocean City.

This will be roughly 50 DEGREES COLDER than Thursday Afternoon!

February 25 weather saturday temperatures

 

Snow Forecast

This is more for ambience and contrast to what we just had.  Not a pop up storm.

This is the more aggressive GFS Model. It is taking a jet stream with a little convergence aloft to bring a band of snow into central and southern Maryland on Saturday.

Snow Forecast Saturday

 

Saturday Snapshot GFS

This model has been the most aggressive and overdone much of this winter. I wanted to show the worst case scenario to start to make this point: The bulk is expected between 8 AM to 2 PM. If that verifies, it will be fighting the residual warm ground AND day sun angle. Stickage will be limited to the grass at best.

February 23 weather forecast snow Saturday GFS

 

Saturday Snapshot ECMWF

This model may be a little underdone. It keeps the SPLIT FLOW with southern Maryland getting a band of light snow or flurries, then another across metro New York. Again, challenged by the warm ground and daytime sun angle.

February 23 weather forecast snow Saturday ECMWF

 

Take Away:

Wild weather has been documented throughout our relative short 150 years of weather records. There are many examples but the most dramatic was this:

  • Year: 1967
  • Feb 2 – Record High = 71ºF
  • Feb 7 – Record Snow= 10.1”

When I was researching this, it became evident that the extreme warmth here in the east all winter, and the extreme snow and cold in the Western US have occurred before. That does not take away the rarity. It may, however, bring some comfort that we will not be fighting off wolves on top of 50 foot frozen tidal waves in New York City.  That movie was fiction but I am sure it will be referenced many more times over the next few days.

I have been anticipating a pattern change all winter that has not happened. My concern remains that the end of La Niña will allow that shift just in time for our spring to end up cooler.

 

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Trivia: Has there been a Winter with NO Snow?

NO!

However, there was one winter with UNDER 1” in 1949 to 1950

 

Also See:

Winter History: Low Snow And Late Starts

See my research based on Baltimore data since 1883.

 

STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back

Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school

Normals And Records: Maryland and Baltimore Climate History

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