Current Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 10/16/2021 11:40:02 pm
Temperature

54°

Mostly Clear

46°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

75%

Feels Like

54°

Wind (W)

7mph

Air Pressure

29.9

Sun
Sun Rise

07:17 AM

Sun Set

06:26 PM

Day Length

11:09 Hours

Difference

2 min 27 sec loss

Moon
Moon Rise

05:01 PM

Moon Set

03:00 AM

Next: Full Moon

Oct 20,2021

Moon Phase

Waxing Gibbous

Climate
Average Low

45°

67°

Average High
Record Low

30°


(1876)

90°


(1897)
Record High
Current Conditions

How Henri Is Expected To Impact The East Coast As A Hurricane

Tropics

Thursday Evening August 19 2021

Tropical Storm Henri has looped around Bermuda and is now making a turn up along the East Coast of the US. The might be a headline you have heard (or something similar), but I want to clarify what we expect with this storm and cut through any anxiety or hype.

Evening Snapshot

In the late afternoon update, Tropical Storm Henri had 65 mph winds. It was located 450 miles away from Cape Hatteras, NC.

The is expected to strengthen into a hurricane as it turns north up the coast. Landfall, might be in New England.

 

Highlights

  • Henri is not pronounced Henry. It sounds like ‘ahn Ree’.
  • We will get rain on Friday, not from Henri. That boundary is what will help steer it though. 
  • This storm is expected to pass 100 miles or more east of Ocean City, however models have trended west, which brings the track possibly over Cape Cod or mainland New England. 
  • Winds may reach tropical storm speed along the beaches on Saturday, but expected to be much lighter inland.
  • Forecast models suggest Henri should reach Category 1 intensity. 
  • Beaches! Henri is expected to become a hurricane with winds 75 mph or higher by Saturday. That will create rip currents for all the local coastal areas all weekend. 

 

Close Up Satellite Loop

This symmetrical circulation traveling over warm water will allow Henri to intensify Friday and Saturday.

Satellite_August_19_Tropical_Storm_Henri

 

Friday Rain: Locally

4 AM to Midnight

Rain in the morning, then more storms across southern Maryland and lower Delmarva in the evening. This is NOT the tropical system, but a frontal boundary that is getting enhanced by ripples in the atmosphere from Henri still hundreds of miles away. 

August_19_weather_rain_Friday

 

Forecast Tracks

The European ECMWF Model

Here is a plot of all the members and the average or ensemble plot highlighted in the middle. Here we see the suggestion for the center to make landfall in New England. 

 

 

National Hurricane Center Forecast Cone

The center line here is simply the average of a wider area of potential. So there will be wiggle room for this tie track closer or farther from the coast. That is more of an issue upstream for New England. If there is a landfall, it would most likely be Sunday. 

 

 

Storm Animation: GFS Model

Rain on the edge of the tropical system may be heavy at times on Saturday, especially along the coast.  Farther inland, sinking air might actually turn this in to a nice day.  I will have more local details on the rain in my morning report.

 

August_19_Forecast_Henri_east_coast

 

Wind (over 35 mph) Arrival Time

There is about a 30% chance for tropical storm wind speed along the Delmarva beaches. If so, they would arrive by Saturday evening.

 

 

 

Ocean Waves Saturday

The core of the storm will be well offshore, but there will be rip currents. It is likely the local beaches will have safety restrictions during the weekend.

 

I will have more details in my Friday morning report, then local updates during the day.

 

Maryland Trek Gear

 

 

Maryland Trek 8 Says THANK YOU!

So Far We Raised $111,901

During 329 Miles From Wisp To Ocean City

To Honor Kids In Cancer Treatment and Support FREE Programs At Just In Power Kids

 


 

 

Sunshine State Of Mind

I am done with the cold and snow (for the season). I am embracing my wife’s mantra of Sunshine State of Mind.

This was designed by Shannon Berk and we will be wearing it through spring and to the beach.

Double Benefit: Proceeds will be split between our nonprofit Just In Power Kids and the development of my new weather website. That has been scheduled to be ready to launch in May.

Sunshine State Of Mind

 

YOUR INTERACTIVE WEATHER PAGES

14 Local Maryland Pages (and York PA)

We have made a page for Maryland Weather which gives you the current conditions for 14 present area locations.

Local Hourly Forecasts and Local Radar
Central Maryland

Baltimore

Annapolis

Bel Air

Carroll County/Westminster

Delmarva

Easton

Salisbury

Ocean City

Dover DE

Southern Maryland

Patuxent River 

Washington DC

 

Pennsylvania

York

 

National Weather Service Adds Maryland Cecil And Garrett Counties

 

 

 

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