Current Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 10/17/2021 12:10:03 am
Temperature

53°

Mostly Clear

46°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

77%

Feels Like

53°

Wind (W)

6mph

Air Pressure

29.91

Sun
Sun Rise

07:17 AM

Sun Set

06:26 PM

Day Length

11:09 Hours

Difference

0 min 0 sec gain

Moon
Moon Rise

05:01 PM

Moon Set

03:00 AM

Next: Full Moon

Oct 20,2021

Moon Phase

Waxing Gibbous

Climate
Average Low

45°

66°

Average High
Record Low

33°


(1982)

90°


(1938)
Record High
Current Conditions

July 1 Afternoon Severe Thunderstorm Watch Update

Severe

Thursday July 1 2021

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for much of our region until this evening. The potential is for Damaging Winds, Large Hail, and even Isolated Tornadoes. Any storm not severe can still produce dangerous lightning and flash flooding.

If you get a ‘Warning’ that means there is a storm occurring and being tracked. That will be issued for a local area with towns listed in the path usually within a 30 to 45 minutes.

Once the line of storms moves through, this region will end earlier than stated from west to east.

 

 

Temperatures at 1 PM 

The rain has cooled the temps on the north side, which will take the sting out of storms.

But the heat is back to near or above 90ºF from metro Washington to lower Delmarva. That is where the flare up of the most active severe weather will be later today.

 

 

 

Recap So Far….

This morning ended up a little more active on the west and north side of Baltimore. This confirms the issue I have been mentioning with the computer model guidance under performing lately.

The places where storms hit this morning, have cooler temps and less likely for the severe outbreak this afternoon.

 

Morning Radar: 7 AM to 10 AM

July_1_weather_storm_radar_Thursday_morning

 

Surface Weather At Noon

 

 

Storm Expectation

As I mentioned, the short range modeling has been under performing.  I’ve compared a snapshot for 2 PM to show how different the HRRR and NAM models play out.

 

 

 

 

 

Storm Animation (NAM)

I still see this model as the better performing, but the activity may be more extensive than shown here. 

July_1_weather_storm_radar_forecast_thursday

 

 

Live Radar and Lightning

 

 

 

Flood Watch

July_1_weather_flash_flood_watch

 

Rainfall Potential

My concern is the slow moving front. Storms may train over some areas, and crawl through the region. This is where some really heavy rain and local flooding may develop. 

 

July_1_weather_rainfall_forecast

 

 

In Case You Missed It:

Amazing Video of Baltimore Lightning and Storm Photos

 

Earthquake in Woodlawn, MD on Friday

 

 

Sunshine State Of Mind

I am done with the cold and snow (for the season). I am embracing my wife’s mantra of Sunshine State of Mind.

This was designed by Shannon Berk and we will be wearing it through spring and to the beach.

Double Benefit: Proceeds will be split between our nonprofit Just In Power Kids and the development of my new weather website. That has been scheduled to be ready to launch in May.

 

YOUR INTERACTIVE WEATHER PAGES

14 Local Maryland Pages (and York PA)

We have made a page for Maryland Weather which gives you the current conditions for 14 present area locations.

Local Hourly Forecasts and Local Radar
Central Maryland

Baltimore

Annapolis

Bel Air

Carroll County/Westminster

Delmarva

Easton

Salisbury

Ocean City

Dover DE

Southern Maryland

Patuxent River 

Washington DC

 

Pennsylvania

York

 

 

 

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