Saturday January 10, 2026
Here comes the rain again. While Baltimore only got 0.03” of rain yesterday, today will mark a second day in a row with rain that only happened twice last month. We have a big rainfall deficit, and the expectation today may bring nearly 1 inch to the city and southward.
Colder air will make a return on Sunday, and with it, some snow showers could cross parts of Central Maryland. The western part of the state will get a fresh accumulation in the high mountains.
Looking into the week ahead, the upper-level jet stream pattern looks like it will have a firm winter grip on the Eastern US. This is the pattern, not the promise at the surface. Our computer model guidance is imperfect, and as you may have seen on your social media feed, one model may show a big snowstorm while another does not. BOTH are likely to change! That is why I am sticking with the jet stream instead. The surface weather results will be refined as the ingredients come in to better focus.
If you love (or hate) winter, the next 10 to 20 days look like a prime window of opportunity to pay attention to.
The stationary front you will see in the map below gets stuck farther south. This was addressed yesterday, and why our current temperatures may not move much all day. The warm air will not get in today, but the rain surely will.
For Baltimore and the Mid-Atlantic: Rainy day on the way! Rain is approaching from the west and will bring steady to heavy rain through the afternoon. This is the needed rain we’ve been talking about.
The push of rain with this line along the cold front will be crossing Southern Maryland, and may get stuck there much of tonight.
This is from a blend of global models:
A large swath of over 1 inch along and south of the heavily populated I-95 corridor.
Most will fall today, and some additional rainfall, as shown here, includes showers tomorrow.
WESTERN MARYLAND
This webcam is positioned at The Greene Turtle Deep Creek Lake and shows Wisp Resort, including a zoomed-in view of Squirrel Cage, The Face, the terrain park, Boulder, the mountain coaster, the tubing park and a shot of McHenry Cove at Deep Creek Lake!
Yesterday: Low 31°F; High 54°F
Precipitation: 0.03″
Season Snow Total: 2.0″
Snow Depth: 0″
Top Wind Gust: 16 mph
Sunrise at 7:26 AM
Sunset at 5:03 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 26ºF
Record Low: -2ºF in 1875
Normal High in Baltimore: 43ºF
Record High: 70ºF in 1950
Rainfall Deficit at BWI
Colder Winds will usher in the return of winter. This may include additional showers in the afternoon that may mix with snow. Steady, accumulating snow will return to the Western Maryland Mountains.
The first signal of winter making a return…
After cold air returns tomorrow, there will be a few more impulses of cold air into the Eastern US through next weekend.
This is the upper-level pattern that supports active weather. The reflection on the surface is less certain and still needs refining. That is why I am not showing surface storms. You can find one model that shows plenty of snow, and another that does not. Both are likely to change as the ingredients needed come into better focus.
This DEEP TROUGH is a strong signal of well below average temperatures into the Gulf Coast, and may help develop a new storm with winter weather.
While in the midst of a colder pattern, we will watch for more energy to attempt snow production.
Rain today, then the cold returns!
Winter is making a comeback!
Thursday’s rain/snow mix still in play — and Friday looks quite cold.
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In case you missed it, click this image for brief summary of the final snow totals from the last event.
In case you missed it, click this image for brief summary of the final snow totals from the last event.
Click here for the full report
This was issued October 9, as expected: A weak and short-lived event to start winter may play a different role this winter.
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I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I can also make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF
