November 25 Rain Timeline Today The Colder Thanksgiving With Mountain Snow And Friday Flurries
Tuesday, November 25 2025
Thanksgiving week often shows us a storm, and this year is living up to expectations. We will have rain move into our region by midday through the afternoon. If you are traveling by air, you may be affected by the severe storms in the South or the snow in the Northern Plains.
On Wednesday, our rain showers will be minimal, but the temps will max out in the upper 60s to near 70°F. A cold front could spark a brief rumble of thunder, followed by the cold air and mountain snow.
Thanksgiving will be COLDER and dry! In fact, the holiday will have falling temperatures with gusty winds. Snow in the mountains of Western Maryland and West Virginia will stick on the roads and may pile up a few inches.
The Ravens’ Home Game on Thursday night will be CHILLY! Temps will be in the 30s with wind chills in the 20s.
Friday, we will see the core of the arctic air that may keep many areas in the region in the 30s.
I am supporting the possibility that some flurries could fly on Friday with the cold core.
Beyond this, the next event may race in with more rain by Sunday. What looked like a warm-up to follow may not verify. Early next week looks to hold on to the cold.
Live Radar Widget
Surface Weather
This complex storm map can be broken into three parts.
- The deep south has strong thunderstorms that may turn severe. This is a signal of the energy with the storm system.
- Steady rain developing in the Mid West and Ohio Valley is the part that we will get into this afternoon.
- Snow in the northern Plains will reach Minneapolis and could affect plane travel. This is followed by the arctic air diving south and will reach Texas today.

NOAA Severe Storm Outlook
A Slight Risk for storms to turn severe includes Mississippi and Alabama.
There is a marginal risk for thunderstorms into Southern Maryland.

Storm Forecast Tuesday To Friday

Radar Simulation
7 AM to Midnight
Steady rain will spread across Central Maryland and Pennsylvania by Noon. It will be heavy at times in the afternoon and evening, the break to showers overnight.

Snapshots
Noon

4 PM

4 PM Temperatures

7 PM

Midnight
Showers will be breaking up

CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore
Yesterday: Low 33F; High 59F
Precipitation: 0.00”
TODAY November 25
Sunrise at 7:01 AM
Sunset at 4:46 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 34ºF
Record 18ºF in 1950; 1956
Normal High in Baltimore: 54ºF
Record 75ºF 1973
Rainfall Deficit at BWI
- Ending 2024 = -8.00”
- Since Jan 1 = 6.50”
- We are STILL DOWN -14.50” INCLUDING LAST YEAR
My Winter Outlook For Above-Average Snow
Click here for the full report
My TV Commercial Debut
I am working with Jarrettsville Furniture on this great promotion to possibly get free furniture if we get snow on Christmas.
Here’s my first announcement. More info to come.
Subscribe for eMail Alerts
Weather posts straight to your inbox
Sign up and be the first to know!
WEDNESDAY WEATHER
Morning Temperatures

Morning Radar Suggestion

Radar Simulation 7 AM to Midnight

Afternoon
Afternoon Temperatures

7 PM
Snow will develop in the mountains.

Midnight
Steady snow will be sticking and accumulating in the mountains.
1 to 3 inches may be on the ground by Thanksgiving Day.

Total Rainfall Potential

THANKSGIVING DAY
Morning Temperatures
If you are doing a Turkey Trot it will be windy and chilly!
The 30s may feel like the 20s with the wind chill.

Wind Forecast 7 AM to 7 PM
Winds will average 10 to 20 mph and gusting over 30 mph.

Thanksgiving Afternoon Forecast

Ravens Game
The night game in Baltimore will be cold. Here are the forecast conditions at 7 PM when the crowd will be fling in to the stadium. It will be getting colder during the game.
Temperatures

Wind Chill
With winds 10 to 20 mph and higher gusts, temps will FEEL like the 20s downtown.

BLACK FRIDAY MORNING
I am not sure how many still race to be in line at stores, but I you are one in the aging tradition, this is for you. For what it’s worth, I still drive manual transmission by preference. So I understand hanging on to nostalgia.
My truck has heated seats. If you will be standing outside, it will be cold! Nothing dire, just that we are not accustomed to this yet this season.
7 AM Temperatures

7 AM Wind Chill

Will There Be Snow?
The jet stream does support the energy as seen here with the vorticity at 500 mb.

Afternoon Snapshot
This jet streak is aligned to support carrying Lake Effect snow shower over the mountains. At least the moisture may help some snow flurries or a snow shower ready into Central Maryland.

Temperatures
It will not be cold enough for stickage, but it will be chilly in the mid 30s.

7 Day Forecast
- Today: Rain
- Wednesday: Warm With Spotty Showers
- Thanksgiving: Cold Winds
- Friday: Windy, Cold And Flurries Or Snow Showers ‘Possible’
- Sunday: Next Round Of Rain

Subscribe for eMail Alerts
Weather posts straight to your inbox
Sign up and be the first to know!
La Niña Advisory
This was issued October 9, as expected: A weak and short-lived event to start winter may play a different role this winter
In Case You Missed It
Woolly Bear Caterpillar Winter Folklore
These are NOT all the same caterpillar!
Winter Outlook From 2 Farmers’ Almanacs
STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back
Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school
THANK YOU:
Baltimore Sun Magazine Readers’ Choice Best Of Baltimore

Maryland Trek 12 Day 7 Completed Sat August 9
UPDATED: We raised OVER $166,000 for Just In Power Kids – AND Still Collecting More
The annual event: Hiking and biking 329 miles in 7 days between The Summit of Wisp to Ocean City.
Each day, we honor a kid and their family’s cancer journey.
Fundraising is for Just In Power Kids: Funding Free Holistic Programs. I never have and never will take a penny. It is all for our nonprofit to operate.
Click here or the image to donate:
RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I can also make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF
Please share your thoughts and best weather pics/videos, or just keep in touch via social media.
-
Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist
-
Twitter
-
Instagram







