August 15 Weekend Storms And High Beach Waves With Hurricane Warning For Bermuda

Thursday, August 15 2024

Morning Report

There may still be some haze in the sky from the distant Canadian Wildfires, but otherwise, a pleasant weather set up and warming a little. This will be ahead of a few days of storms starting this weekend. Next week the outlook is cooler than average for a change.

Hurricane Ernesto has winds of 85 mph this morning. It continues to move North of Puerto Rico into warmer Gulf Stream waters. Yesterday, it became the third hurricane of this year’s Atlantic hurricane season and will pass Bermuda this weekend. While more than 500 miles east of our coast, our local beaches will experience high waves.

Morning Surface Weather

High Pressure is in control and we still have some smoke and haze in the upper atmosphere from distant wildfires in central and western Canada.

Hurricane Ernesto is now seen on our larger weather map.

Afternoon Temperatures

Another pleasant day with low humidity and a little warmer.

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CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore

TODAY August 15

Sunrise at 6:20 AM

Sunset at 8:01 PM

Normal Low in Baltimore:  66ºF

Record 49ºF in 1964

Normal High in Baltimore: 87ºF

Record 103ºF 1988

Summer Hot Day Totals At BWI

8 Days at or above 100ºF

39 Days total at or above 90ºF 

THANK YOU:

Baltimore Magazine Readers Choice Best Of Baltimore

HURRICANE ERNESTO

Continuing to move north of Puerto Rico, its top winds are 85 mph. It may reach Category 3 ‘Major’ status tomorrow… passing very close to Bermuda. A Hurricane Warning is in place there….  AND it will stay well offshore from the mainland US.

Satellite Loop

5 AM Stats From National Hurricane Center

———————————————-

• LOCATION…23.9N 69.1W
• ABOUT 635 MI…1025 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
• MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH…140 KM/H
• PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 360 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/H
• MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…979 MB…28.91 INCHES

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…

• Bermuda

Computer Model Forecast Intensity

Major Hurricane Category 3 peak intensity is expected Friday, and it may drop back to Cat 2 when it passes Bermuda on Saturday.

National Hurricane Center Forecast Track

Expected to briefly be a Major Cat 3 Hurricane tomorrow, then pass Bermuda as a Cat 2 on Saturday.

Wave Forecast: Sunday

Local beaches may get 4 to 6 Ft swells from the distant storm.

LOCAL WEATHER FRIDAY AUGUST 16

Heating up a little, and it may be our last 90ºF day in Baltimore for a while….

Morning Temperatures

Afternoon Temperatures

Weather Outlook Friday to Tuesday

The chance for showers may be delayed and extended with slower progress. This is in part due to Hurricane Ernesto passing well off to our East.

Showers in the mountains on Friday and a slight increase for metro areas on Saturday. The better chance for widespread storms will be Sunday and Monday.

Snapshots

Friday Evening

Storms in the mountains…

Saturday Evening

30% chance of thunderstorms in metro areas.

Sunday Evening

60% chance of thunderstorms.

Monday Evening

60% chance of thunderstorms.

NOAA Temperature Outlook 

After this system passes, we will get into a cooler weather pattern next week.

7 Day Forecast

Our weather will remain quiet until this weekend. Both Saturday and Sunday bring a 60% chance for late day or evening thunderstorms.

Please share your thoughts and best weather pics/videos, or just keep in touch via social media.

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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.

One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF