May 16 More Sunshine Over The Next Two Days Then Rain May Switch Days Over Preakness Weekend

Thursday May 16

Morning Report

Much of our region has cleared out. There are areas of fog, along with more clouds on portions of Delmarva. However, it is still a marked improvement. The results of more sun will boost our temps back to the 70s today.

The old Low is off the coast of New Jersey this morning. This will generate another surge of clouds that will try to retrograde/shift inland. This may bring a few hours of clouds to metro areas mid afternoon. 

This weekend will be our 16th of 20 this year with rain. The latest model runs have showed a flip to bring the steady rain in sooner. This may make Saturday more wet, especially in the afternoon for Preakness. Then the rain may shift south and leave us with a better chance for a dry Sunday. 

Morning Surface Weather

There may be some patchy fog to start, but more clearing across out region. 

Clouds are lingering across parts of Delmarva, which may expand during the day. This is due to that stubborn Low Pressure off the coast of New Jersey. This will try to generate more clouds to push inland during the afternoon. 

Temperatures at 1 PM

Temperatures will warm in response to the sunshine, but they may peak earlier as clouds increase during the afternoon.

Cloud Simulation: Noon to 8 PM

The Coastal Storm will keep clouds across Delmarva and try to send them inland to central Maryland during the afternoon.

Snapshot 4 PM

Radar Simulation: Noon to 8 PM

There may be spotty showers developing in the afternoon and evening. 

CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore

TODAY May 16

Sunrise at 5:52 AM

Sunset at 8:15 PM

Normal Low in Baltimore:  53ºF

Record 37ºF in 1973; 2016

Normal High in Baltimore: 75ºF

Record 92ºF 1944; 1998

Friday Weather

This day looks sunny, with increasing clouds during the afternoon. The chance of rain and T’storms will reach the high mountains in the afternoon.

Temperatures: Morning

Temperatures: Afternoon 

Preakness Preview

The afternoon looks chilly and wet. Storm Simulation below.

Looking Ahead

Storm Simulation: Friday To Monday

• Friday: Rain and T’storms arrive in the mountains. 
• Saturday: Looks to be the wet day! Showers in the morning, then steady rain during the afternoon.
• Sunday: The latest trend shows the system suppressing the rain to our south. This may end up dry for much of our region, but I would still not promise this. It is hopeful, though.

Friday

T’storms may cross the mountains by evening. Central areas will get increasing clouds after a sunny start.

Preakness Saturday

The abrupt change is the system speeding up and bringing in more rain on this day. The rain will be more steady and widespread in the afternoon. 

Sunday

This is the big change. Instead of this being the wet day, it looks like the rain will be pushed south. I would hold out to see if this continues in the next model run. I will have an update later today.

7 Day Forecast

The change here is that Saturday appears to be wetter, while the rain may get suppressed to our South on Sunday. This is still subject to change. 

Early next week should start dry with sunny and warm days. 

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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.

One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF