May 11 Weather Through Mothers Day Plus Aurora Photos and Forecast For More

Saturday, May 11

Morning Report

We are stuck in this chilly and damp pattern. While we may have some sunny breaks and a little boost of temperatures back to the 60s today, another system will bring more showers later today and tonight. This will continue into Mother’s Day.

This is not great news for the potential of another night of viewing the Aurora, but parts of our region will have a chance again. Photos of the Northern Lights and Forecast are below. 

The next weather system may bring steady rain Tuesday into Wednesday.

Historic Aurora Event

The solar storm that reached Earth did not disappoint, except if you were stuck under the cloud cover.

Northern Lights in our region, there was clearing in the mountains of PA, western MD, and Virginia. 

Photos 

I received photos from places as far south as Georgia, Florida, and Texas! There were reports of the Northern Lights in The Bahamas for the first time on record… in modern times at least.

If you check my Facebook post there are even more photos in the comments.

Timelapse Video

From 9sami98

@TonyPannWBAL @JustinWeather @MatthewCappucci @wbaltv11 @ttasselWBAL @forecaster25

Amazing Timelapse I took of the Auroras at Shenandoah National Park

Truly breathtaking pic.twitter.com/cBTz3RnNxc

— 9sami98 (@9sami98) May 11, 2024

Aurora Tracking and Forecast

Proton Flux: Warning Threshold

This is for best viewing farther south AND possible disruption to satellite communication.

Planetary Kp Index

An Extreme Event is when the Index reaches 8. Last night, it hit a very rare 9.

Forecast:

Staying near Kp=8 again today brings the chance for another showing… if it is clear.

Cloud Forecast Tonight 

This may be a repeat of clouds vs. clearing for much of the same areas as last night. If you want to travel, head to the mountains of western MD or Virginia. 

Morning Surface Weather

There may be some breaks of sun today while remaining cool. The next system will reach the mountains with rain this afternoon and into metro areas this evening and tonight. 

Afternoon Temperatures 

A little milder but remaining below average in the 60s.

Radar Simulation 2 PM to Midnight

SUGGESTION

Afternoon rain in the mountains will reach metro areas this evening and continue overnight.

Snapshot at 8 PM

Snapshot at Midnight

CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore

TODAY May 11

Sunrise at 5:57 AM

Sunset at 8:10 PM

Normal Low in Baltimore:  52ºF

Record 32ºF in 1966

Normal High in Baltimore: 74ºF

Record 94ºF 1896

Mother’s Day Weather

Temperatures

Morning

Afternoon 

More Rain?

The better chance for shows to develop is mid-day into the afternoon, with a few thunderstorms mixed in.

Radar Simulation: 8 AM to 8 PM

2 PM Snapshot

40% Chance Of Showers Or T’Storms developing during BRUNCH into the afternoon. 

Looking Ahead

Storm Simulation: Tuesday to Thursday

After a sunny Monday, the next storm system may bring a two-day event with more rain on Tuesday and Wednesday.

7 Day Forecast

Note:

Next week will warm up back to the 70s.

The best chance for rain will be on Tuesday and Wednesday

STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back

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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.

One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF