Thursday May 30 2019

Tornado Warning until 3:45 PM in Howard County between Columbia and Ellicott City. But its sals really bad north into Sykesville and Eldersburg. Look out Southern Carroll Co and eastern HoCo. This will be near I-95 by 3:45 PM

Pull Over

Take Shelter

Severe Storms have erupted already, so if you read my last update you already know this is earlier activity and more intensity that the short range forecast models showed. I suggested this might happen. What has been a surprise was that the storm that reached Frederick had a Tornado Warning with it. That same cell is moving east along I-70. It had been downgraded to a Severe Thunderstorm, but could still spin up again.

There is a lot of activity and I want to agrees all of it.

In PA-

Heavy rain also is associated with a Flood Watch. There will be lighting and perhaps a waring with that cell near Hanover.

In Maryland

Tornado Warning

Severe T’Storm Warning until 3:45 PM

The Frederick cell is moving east and all within 10 miles of I-70 in Carroll County and Howard County need to watch this closely. This had rotation earlier and could spin up again. That cell should reach Baltimore by 4 PM.

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Severe T’Storm Warning until 4 PM

This cell will pass through Washington and needs to be tracked long Rt 50 into Annapolis between 4 and 5 PM

Dopple Radar Loop

2 Hours ending at 3 PM

Radar Simulation —> slider

The NAM 3 Km is already behind schedule, but may be the better solution for one cluster then followed by evening rain.

Compare the 3 PM forecast that was too quiet compared to the images above. So plot out where you live and plan for storm to arrive there 2 hours earlier than the time stamp. There will likely be more warnings… even on to the Eastern Shore and Delaware.

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Watches and Warnings

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